A solid second three starts back, Cerulean Bay has since faded to fifth and eighth, including last time out; he still rates within a few pounds of the leading pair, so a return closer to that level would make him a leading threat.
Form last 63-4258
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Holloway Boy has been admirably consistent - runner-up last time out, and again three and five starts back - and rates the best of these, with the yard in good order lately (10 from its last 34); turning those places into a win remains the only miss.
Form last 6323202
★AI Rating★★★★☆
123SR—RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Point Lynas rates only narrowly behind the selection on our figures, having been a fair fourth last time out, but a 73-day absence and a moderate sequence before that - ninth, seventh and sixth - are the obvious concerns.
Form last 6267-94
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Crystal Flyer bounced back to be runner-up last time out having been well beaten in the race before, and that improved effort is the most encouraging piece of recent form on show; the query is whether she can repeat it given modest efforts further back.
Form last 68-9702
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Model Yuko has finished no better than seventh in her last two starts, a marked fall from a win four starts back, and a third five starts back; she rates bottom of these on our figures and needs to rediscover that level to feature.
Form last 63138-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mostar Dreams was a fair fourth last time out, and a close second two starts back, though a well-beaten ninth three starts back shows the inconsistency that leaves her the outsider of these on our figures.
Form last 63-1924
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Point Lynas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Edward BethellCallum Rodriguez
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Holloway Boy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
evn · K. R. Burke✓ Value Signal
Model Yuko
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Roger Varian◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Holloway Boy (SR 123, 10/11) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a significant margin — 13 points clear of the next-best Point Lynas (SR 110) — and crucially backs that rating with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's Good to Firm ground over 1m6y. Running at the same class as his most recent start (ClassMv:=) means no upward adjustment is required, and his consistent form string 323202 shows a horse that competes every single time without blowing out. Trainer K.R. Burke operates at 19% career strike rate from 626 runners — a yard that fires at Listed level — and Clifford Lee at 16% is a reliable booking. The 10/11 market position reflects genuine dominance in this field, not hype.
Each-way alternative: Point Lynas.
Main danger: Point Lynas — Point Lynas (SR 110, 15/8) is the clear second-best rated horse and has fresh legs after 73 days off, with headgear added and a trainer operating at 15% strike rate — if the hood sparks improvement and Holloway Boy has an off-day, he is the only rival capable of closing the SR gap.