Probation
SpeculativeProbation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f133y
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Golden Orbit | 11/10 open 1.91 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 | 11/10 open 1.91 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 2 Probation | 6/5 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 3 Rajendra | 13/2 open 10.00 | — | 13/2 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Probation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Probation (SR:80, 11/10) holds a decisive ability edge over both rivals — 16 points clear of Golden Orbit and Rajendra (both SR:64) — and that gap is substantial at this level. Carrying just 8-8 against Golden Orbit's 9-10, Probation has a meaningful weight advantage that reinforces the SR superiority. Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy operates at a solid 13% strike rate from 174 runners, and Probation's recent form of 3-4-3 shows consistent competitiveness without a win but also no capitulation, suggesting the horse is finding its level. Running at the same class as its last outing (ClassMv:=) means there are no adjustment concerns, and the slight odds-on market confidence reflects that the SR and form case is genuine. Each-way alternative: Golden Orbit. Main danger: Golden Orbit — Golden Orbit showed a win (the '1' in Form:1-40) at some point and drops three class tiers, which could revive form if the '0' last time was a one-off aberration on unsuitable conditions rather than a sign of deterioration.