Lingfield 17:20 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Jul 2026

Yesterday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f133y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Probation (GB) Alexandra Egan · Kevin Philippart De Foy
    5/4
  2. 5/6F
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Golden Orbit silks
Golden Orbit
Age 3 · 9-10
1-40
86
64
86OR
3
9-10
11/10 10/11 11/10
One win from her last three starts, and unplaced last time out 27 days ago, this filly still holds the form edge on our figures. The yard is in excellent heart at 28% over the past fortnight, so a bounce-back is well within her range.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

2
Probation silks
Probation
Age 3 · 8-8
343
70
80
70OR
3
8-8
6/5 10/11 11/10
Third last time out, having been fourth and third before that, this gelding is yet to win in its last three starts but rates the biggest threat to the selection on our figures. A 39-day break since that run is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Rajendra silks
Rajendra
Age 3 · 8-4
6-467
64
64
64OR
3
8-4
13/2 15/2 13/2
Winless in four runs, though our figures rate him a shade above his official mark of 64 and there is a fourth in that spell to work with. Seventh last time out and 39 days since, he is bottom of the three on our numbers and needs to find plenty.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Golden Orbit 11/10 open 1.91 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 11/10 open 1.91 11/10 open 2.00 11/10 Bet365
2 Probation 6/5 11/10 open 2.00 6/5 open 1.91 6/5 open 1.91 6/5 open 1.91 6/5 Bet365
3 Rajendra 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Probation

Speculative

Probation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Kevin Philippart De Foy Alexandra Egan(7)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Golden Orbit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/10 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Rajendra

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · David Simcock
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Probation
53.9 6/5
2 1. Golden Orbit
50.5 11/10
3 3. Rajendra
48.3 13/2
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🤖 AI view
Probation
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-10
11/10
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at evn.

2
Age 3 · 8-8
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 8-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Probation
Confidence: Medium

Probation (SR:80, 11/10) holds a decisive ability edge over both rivals — 16 points clear of Golden Orbit and Rajendra (both SR:64) — and that gap is substantial at this level. Carrying just 8-8 against Golden Orbit's 9-10, Probation has a meaningful weight advantage that reinforces the SR superiority. Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy operates at a solid 13% strike rate from 174 runners, and Probation's recent form of 3-4-3 shows consistent competitiveness without a win but also no capitulation, suggesting the horse is finding its level. Running at the same class as its last outing (ClassMv:=) means there are no adjustment concerns, and the slight odds-on market confidence reflects that the SR and form case is genuine. Each-way alternative: Golden Orbit. Main danger: Golden Orbit — Golden Orbit showed a win (the '1' in Form:1-40) at some point and drops three class tiers, which could revive form if the '0' last time was a one-off aberration on unsuitable conditions rather than a sign of deterioration.

Shortlist Probation, Golden Orbit, Rajendra
Each-way: Golden Orbit Danger: Golden Orbit

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m3f133y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Lingfield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade