Novacast Don't Come Last Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier) · 1m6f0y
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Man Of The Sea | 10/1 | — | 8/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Assured | 50/1 open 26.00 | — | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Blue Siam | 11/1 open 6.50 | — | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Campeona | 3/10 open 1.50 | — | 3/10 open 1.44 | 1/4 open 1.44 | 2/7 open 1.44 | 1/4 open 1.44 | 3/10 Bet365 |
| 5 Endofastorm | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Campeona owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Campeona (SR 69, 4/9) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field — 14 points clear of the next best — and drops two class tiers, representing a significant ease in company. Carrying 9-6, she has a weight advantage over Man Of The Sea (9-12) and sits lighter than all rivals on a class-adjusted basis. Sir Mark Prescott (17% strike rate, 249 runners) is one of the shrewdest trainers in the country when placing horses in Class 6 staying handicaps, and Luke Morris retains the ride, confirming this is a yard that means business. The 200-day absence and unproven trip/going (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) are the credible risks, but a Prescott horse dropping two classes after a rest is a well-worn pattern that ends in the winner's enclosure far more often than the market implies. Each-way alternative: Man Of The Sea. Main danger: Man Of The Sea — Man Of The Sea (SR 53, 15/2) has steamed in 21% in the market, holds a course win and place at Bath, is proven at the distance (DistFit:+), and drops a class — the market money is telling a story that cannot be ignored at this trip on a specialist track.