Roscommon 16:53 RESULTED
11 May 2026

Monday 11 May Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) · 7f111y

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dancing Destiny (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    5/1
  2. 10/1
  3. 5/2
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Catterick

14:30–17:00 · 6 races

Southwell

14:42–17:47 · 7 races

Killarney

16:35–20:07 · 8 races

Roscommon

16:53–20:23 · 8 races

Windsor

17:12–20:17 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30–21:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Seven Nation Army silks
Seven Nation Army
Age 2 · 9-9
88
80
60
2
9-9
5/1
Top yard but hasn't shown enough in maidens at Roscommon and Navan to be of interest here; others make more appeal.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Dancing Destiny
Age 2 · 9-2
1
78
82
2
9-2
17/2
Magna Grecia filly got off the mark on debut at Roscommon (7.5f, good) six days ago; didn't shape like she was crying out for a drop back in trip that day and her dam was best over 1m2f-1m4f; may be vulnerable to speedier rivals at this distance.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Our Boy Bailey
Age 2 · 9-4
Shane Foley
Mrs John Harrington
72
2
9-4
10/1
Not sold as a foal for E17,000; twelfth foal; half-brother to six winners inc Zaffy's Pride (6f/7f AW 2yo inc Listed; RPR 101), Pepperoni Pete (1m; 96) and New Identity (5f/1m; 82); dam 1m-1m2f winner (99), sister to 1m Listed winner Zayn Zen.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Cochise County silks
Cochise County
Age 2 · 9-5
9
64
60
2
9-5
18/1
Slowly away and never in contention when ninth of ten over C&D on debut last Monday.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Cyclone Code
Age 2 · 9-5
6
54
72
2
9-5
28/1
Moderate debut at Roscommon when a 6.5l sixth of ten (7.5f, good), weakening late on; he will have easier opportunities to get off the mark than this.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

3
Stay Curious
Age 2 · 9-4
Luke McAteer
Patrick T Foley
54
2
9-4
28/1
E23,000 Y; fourth foal; half-brother to winners Glam Squad (7f-8.6f inc AW; RPR 87), Fornarinah (Italian 5f-6.7f inc 2yo/AW) and Castrillo (7f inc 2yo/Italy); dam 6f winner (88), out of half-sister to smart 5f-7f winner Excusez Moi.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

4
Joga Bonito
Age 2 · 9-2
W J Lee
P Twomey
82
2
9-2
9/4
Made 85,000gns as a yearling; fifth foal; closely related to Group-placed 1m/1m1f winner Silver Sword (RPR 106), half-brother to winners Ae Fond Kiss (7.3f; 67) and Mister Slovakia (Polish 9.5f); dam 2m AW winner (90), out of sister to Gold Cup winner Papineau.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Lan De Ghaire silks
Lan De Ghaire
Age 2 · 9-2
33
96
83
2
9-2
5/2
Beaten 1l over C&D on debut (good), showing signs of greenness before running on well for third; led inside the final furlong at Roscommon over 7.5f (good) before fading into a 0.75l third; in the mix again.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Frogs Hollow Creek
Age 2 · 9-0
4
Wayne Lordan
Martin Hassett
64
70
2
9-0
10/1
150-1 when creditable fourth of seven behind impressive Ballydoyle-trained winner over 6f at the Curragh, running on late and not far off second and third.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Romance
Age 2 · 8-11
Rory Cleary
Josh Halley
57
2
8-11
50/1
E8,000 Y; eighth foal; half-sister to three winners inc Robinie (French 1m4f/1m6f; RPR 90) and Romexa (German 7.5f); dam Listed-placed 7f-1m winner (inc AW; 93), sister to 1m4f Group 2 winner Strathspey.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lan De Ghaire

Speculative

Lan De Ghaire owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 J S Bolger Declan McDonogh
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Joga Bonito

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · P Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Romance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Josh Halley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Lan De Ghaire
58.7 5/2
2 4. Joga Bonito
57.0 9/4
3 2. Seven Nation Army
50.6 5/1
4 2. Our Boy Bailey
48.0 10/1
5 2. Dancing Destiny
46.8 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lan De Ghaire
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-2
9/4
J: W J Lee
T: P Twomey
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
10/1
J: Shane Foley
T: Mrs John Harrington
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-0
10/1
J: Wayne Lordan
T: Martin Hassett
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-5
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lan De Ghaire
Confidence: Medium

Lan De Ghaire leads the field with SR 96 and is trading at 5/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lan De Ghaire, Joga Bonito, Seven Nation Army, Dancing Destiny, Our Boy Bailey
Each-way: Joga Bonito Danger: Seven Nation Army

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f111y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting