Fairyhouse 18:45 RESULTED
12 Jun 2026

Yesterday Pat's Carpets Race

Pat's Carpets Race · 7f

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Pat's Carpets Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cowardofthecounty (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    7/4F
  2. 10/1
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 3 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Frescobaldi silks
Frescobaldi Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
153-50
94
82
3
9-4
SP 22/1 25/1
?
Zodiac Bear silks
Zodiac Bear Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-11
013-4
103
105
4
9-11
SP 5/2 11/4
?
Ocean's Breath silks
Ocean's Breath Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
24-191
92
107
3
9-4
SP FCST 9/4
1
Tina's Indian silks
Tina's Indian
Age 5 · 10-0
31-404
92
90
5
10-0
10/3 15/2 5/2
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Cowardofthecounty silks
Cowardofthecounty
Age 4 · 9-11
590-82
99
100
4
9-11
2/1 5/2 2/1
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Love Billy Boy silks
Love Billy Boy
Age 5 · 9-11
1290-9
90
73
5
9-11
5/1 FCST 4/1
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Moss Tucker silks
Moss Tucker
Age 8 · 9-11
000/06
99
92
8
9-11
7/2 8/1 7/2
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Tolebi silks
Tolebi
Age 4 · 9-11
4300-0
92
66
4
9-11
33/1 40/1 33/1
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Queen Of The Bogs silks
Queen Of The Bogs
Age 4 · 9-9
718-
92
87
4
9-9
13/2 11/1 6/1
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Frescobaldi 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 25/1 Bet365
0 Zodiac Bear 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Coral
0 Ocean's Breath 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 Bet365
1 Tina's Indian 10/3 open 10.00 3/1 open 9.00 3/1 open 9.00 10/3 open 9.00 5/2 open 8.50 10/3 Bet365
2 Cowardofthecounty 2/1 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 5/2 Betfred
3 Love Billy Boy 5/1 open 21.00 4/1 open 19.00 4/1 open 19.00 9/2 open 19.00 4/1 5/1 Bet365
4 Moss Tucker 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 open 9.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Tolebi 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 Coral
7 Queen Of The Bogs 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cowardofthecounty

Speculative

Cowardofthecounty owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Declan McDonogh
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Moss Tucker

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · K J Condon
✓ Value Signal

Tolebi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Gerard O'Leary
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Cowardofthecounty
59.3 2/1
2 4. Moss Tucker
58.5 7/2
3 1. Tina's Indian
55.4 10/3
4 7. Queen Of The Bogs
53.1 13/2
5 3. Love Billy Boy
52.0 5/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Ocean's Breath
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 9-11
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-11
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-9
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ocean's Breath
Confidence: Medium

Ocean's Breath (SR 107, 5/2, 9-4) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight of any horse with a competitive SR, giving a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals. The form string 24-191 shows a horse in excellent current form — the rightmost digit is a win — and the 4-star AI probability is the only one in the field, reflecting strong multi-signal alignment. Trainer G M Lyons is a reliable handler for progressive 3-year-olds on Good ground over 7f, and the 5/2 price is market-confident without being overbet. The weight of 9-4 versus Zodiac Bear (SR 105, 9-11) represents a 7lb swing in Ocean's Breath's favour despite a near-identical SR, which is decisive on Good ground over this trip. Each-way alternative: Zodiac Bear. Main danger: Zodiac Bear — Zodiac Bear (SR 105, 5/2, 9-11) is trained by J P Murtagh and the 013-4 form shows consistent competitiveness, but the 7lb weight disadvantage versus Ocean's Breath at a near-identical SR is the primary reason it is selected as danger rather than selection.

Shortlist Ocean's Breath, Zodiac Bear, Cowardofthecounty
Each-way: Zodiac Bear Danger: Zodiac Bear

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting