Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (EBF Restricted Race Qual) (GBB/IRE Incentive) · 6f17y
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Isca Bay | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Towelontheterrace | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Belardo Ace | 7/2 open 3.50 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Harry's Pop | 5/1 open 11.00 | — | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Zambezi Shark | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 6 Lady Branksome | 6/4 open 2.25 | — | 7/4 open 2.20 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 7/4 open 2.20 | 7/4 Coral |
| 7 Koodini | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Metamouse | 4/1 open 7.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Trust Havana | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 10 Trust In Far | 200/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lady Branksome owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lady Branksome (SR 154, 5/4) holds the second-highest SR in the field and carries a favourable 9-2, giving her a 2lb weight advantage over Belardo Ace (SR 153, 9-4) despite being rated near-identically — a meaningful edge on Good to Soft ground where every pound counts. Her form of 52 mirrors Belardo Ace's exactly, meaning no form-line advantage to her rival, yet the market is significantly more confident in Lady Branksome (5/4 vs 5/2), suggesting stronger homework or better trial performances. Michael Bell is an experienced handler of precocious 2-year-olds and Chester's tight, galloping 6f17y suits a tractable, well-rated filly. The combination of top-two SR, lightest weight among the top-rated horses, and clear market leadership makes her the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Metamouse. Main danger: Belardo Ace — Belardo Ace (SR 153, 5/2, 9-4) is rated just 1lb below Lady Branksome on the SR scale, shares an identical form line of 52, and Andrew Balding's yard is capable of producing a sharpened 2-year-old second time out — if the stable has improved him since that last run, he is entirely capable of reversing the market order.
