#Matchbooklovesracing Irish EBF Maiden · 5f
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
Betrayed inexperience when too keen and fading into last of 8 over 6f here on debut; drop in trip a plus but may need a bit more time.
Made a pleasing debut when runner-up here over 5f (soft); didn't win as easily as the market suggested at Naas last time (30-100), getting up late to beat an 80-1 chance by a head; the step up to 6f will suit, but Great Barrier Reef is the more attractive of the trainer's two.
Failed to fire on debut in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, gd-sft) when a 14-1 shot; given a 42-day break since and returns with yard in flying form; by Persian Force so could improve plenty for this faster ground; not dismissed.
Soundly beaten in 5f maidens at the Curragh (sft-hvy) and at Cork (soft); not easy to make a case for on the back of those tame efforts.
With a top yard but has failed to fire in a pair of 5f maidens at Naas; beaten 12.5l when last of seven there on latest; others hold more pressing claims.
Space Blues filly produced something to build on with 2l fourth behind subsequent easy Listed winner Velozee on debut at Cork (5f, soft) when an unconsidered 25-1 shot; big chance if she acts on quicker ground (not certain on breeding).
Sioux Nation filly cost 120,000GBP as a yearling; forced a dead heat for second on debut at Naas (good) when finishing powerfully over 5f, just a head behind better fancied stablemate; this step up in trip is likely to suit and she looks like a big player.
No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.
Carry The Flag owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalMade a pleasing debut when runner-up here over 5f (soft); didn't win as easily as the market suggested at Naas last time (30-100), getting up late to beat an 80-1 chance by a head; the step up to 6f will suit, but Great Barrier Reef is the more attractive of the trainer's two.
Sioux Nation filly cost 120,000GBP as a yearling; forced a dead heat for second on debut at Naas (good) when finishing powerfully over 5f, just a head behind better fancied stablemate; this step up in trip is likely to suit and she looks like a big player.
With a top yard but has failed to fire in a pair of 5f maidens at Naas; beaten 12.5l when last of seven there on latest; others hold more pressing claims.
Space Blues filly produced something to build on with 2l fourth behind subsequent easy Listed winner Velozee on debut at Cork (5f, soft) when an unconsidered 25-1 shot; big chance if she acts on quicker ground (not certain on breeding).
Failed to fire on debut in the Brocklesby at Doncaster (5f, gd-sft) when a 14-1 shot; given a 42-day break since and returns with yard in flying form; by Persian Force so could improve plenty for this faster ground; not dismissed.