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Top Rated Today

Sly Man's Top Rated — Sunday 9 August 2026

Every rating, pick and market move that matters, in one read.

Sly Man’s Briefing · 2026-08-09

Today’s Top Rated

27 races 241 runners scanned
Sly Man Staff analyst
Signals converging

The FoldThe FoldWhere two or more of Saturday Racing’s primary analytical signals converge on the same horse. The higher the count, the stronger the signal.

1 horse appears in two of today’s primary signals.

Editorial

Sly Man’s Take

Three minutes with the day.

1 horse in the Fold today.

Lilannbee at 13:58 Downpatrick is the day's clearest focal point, landing in The Fold with an SR of 157 and cross-system consensus backing from both the AI balanced lens and Mr Fox — at 13/8 she is not a price that invites blind faith, but the convergence of two independent signals on the same animal is exactly what this morning's read is built around. The stronger SR belongs to Al Wathba at 14:24 Leicester (158), though that horse sits in isolation — no consensus, no AI agreement — so treat it as a watch rather than a conviction. Be An Angel at 14:06 Chepstow is the consensus headline away from Downpatrick, drawing agreement from three separate systems including the Race Explorer SR flag, which is the broadest cross-signal alignment on the card today. The steamers at Downpatrick and Chepstow — I Can Find Em trimmed from 33/1 to 18/1 at 16:18, and Music And Song from 22/1 to 12/1 at 15:51 Chepstow — suggest late money is arriving in places the ratings models have not yet caught up with, so keep an eye on those markets as they develop. Overall this is a moderate-convergence morning: Lilannbee and Be An Angel carry the clearest multi-signal cases, but neither is a certainty, and the honest counter on Lilannbee is that her market price already reflects the attention.
The scan

Top Signals TodayTop SignalsThe highest-conviction hit from each race today, one row per race. Filters the whole card down to what’s actually worth watching.

The highest-conviction hits, one per race.

13:58 Downpatrick Lead signal

Lilannbee

Strong contender

  • SR 157
  • AI
14:06 Chepstow #2

Be An Angel

Strong contender

  • AI
14:15 Curragh #3

Shakespeare

AI corroborated

  • AI
14:24 Leicester #4

Al Wathba

Highest SR (watch)

  • SR 158
13:15 Curragh #5

New Bond Street

Highest SR (watch)

  • SR 154
15:51 Chepstow #6

Cici's Secret

Steaming

  • 50/1→28/1
15:51 Chepstow #7

Music And Song

Steaming

  • 22/1→12/1
16:18 Downpatrick #8

I Can Find Em

Steaming

  • 33/1→18/1
13:15 Curragh #9

Mutamarid Lsk

Market cooling

  • 50/1→200/1
13:45 Curragh #10

Siege Of Tyre

Market cooling

  • 50/1→150/1
By the numbers

The Ratings

Top three horses by each rating system today.

SR Speed Rating SR — Speed RatingA numeric performance score based on race times. Higher is faster — typically 100+ is strong, 140+ is Group-race calibre.
  1. Al Wathba

    14:24 Leicester 2/7
    158
  2. Lilannbee

    13:58 Downpatrick 13/8
    157
  3. New Bond Street

    13:15 Curragh 3/1
    154
Cross-system agreement

Systems ConsensusSystems ConsensusWhen multiple independent Saturday Racing engines (AI models, Sly Man, Mr Fox, market read) land on the same horse. Cross-system agreement is unusual and worth taking seriously.

The horses Saturday Racing's independent analytical engines all landed on. When four systems built on different signals agree, the market usually catches up quickly.

  • 3 SYSTEMS
    AGREE
    14:06 Chepstow
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • RACE EXPLORER — TOP SR
    6th Finished 6th
    Verify
  • 2 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Lilannbee

    13/8
    13:58 Downpatrick
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    4th Finished 4th
    Verify
  • 2 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Shakespeare

    11/10
    14:15 Curragh
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    🏆 WON Won — Saturday Racing called it
    Verify
Market moves

The MoneyThe MoneyThe board’s view of the race — which horses the market is backing, which it’s abandoning, and by how much.

What the boards are telling us.

Steamers — sharp money coming inSteamerA horse whose odds have shortened significantly as the market backs it. Sharp money coming in.

Drifters — sanity checkDrifterA horse whose odds have lengthened as the market cools on it. Sanity-check signal — sometimes right, sometimes wrong.

  • Mutamarid Lsk

    13:15 Curragh
    50/1 200/1 294%
    MARKET COOLING
    18th Out of the frame
  • Siege Of Tyre

    13:45 Curragh
    50/1 150/1 196%
    MARKET COOLING
    13th Out of the frame
  • Carry The Flag

    16:00 Curragh
    16/1 33/1 100%
    MARKET COOLING
    4th Finished 4th
Contextual edges

The Angles

The situational reads.

Trainer hot streak

14 days
  1. Charlie Appleby 34.6% (9/26) · 1 today
  2. Joe Tickle 33.3% (2/6) · 2 today
  3. P Twomey 33.3% (3/9) · 2 today
  4. Charlie Clover 28.6% (2/7) · 2 today
  5. W P Mullins 26.1% (18/69) · 1 today

Jockey upgrade

New pilot
  1. Snowing 13:15 Curragh Ryan Moore (30.0%) up from Jack Cleary(5) (0.0%)
    4/1 6th
  2. Eastern Queen 15:16 Chepstow Donagh Murphy(7) (18.2%) up from Nathan Crosse (0.0%)
    5/1 🏆 WON
  3. Santerno 13:15 Curragh Dylan Browne McMonagle (16.3%) up from Declan McDonogh (0.0%)
    16/1 9th
  4. Al Maslool 15:34 Leicester Cieren Fallon (24.4%) up from Jason Watson (8.0%)
    7/4 4th
  5. No More Porter 17:10 Curragh Colin Keane (13.5%) up from Nathan Crosse (0.0%)
    8/1 🥉 3rd

Class dropper

-1 class
  1. Eastern Queen 15:16 Chepstow Class 1 → Class 5 (drop 4)
    5/1 🏆 WON
  2. Our Fella 14:41 Chepstow Class 4 → Class 6 (drop 2)
    17/2 4th
  3. Chianti 14:41 Chepstow Class 4 → Class 6 (drop 2)
    10/3 🥉 3rd
  4. Cash Flow Boy 14:41 Chepstow Class 4 → Class 6 (drop 2)
    16/1 8th
  5. Love Rome 14:59 Leicester Class 3 → Class 5 (drop 2)
    2/1 🥈 2nd