Sly Man's ACCA — Saturday 10 October 2026

Combined price 63,180/1 ✓ 6× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,500 LOW

Shape · Stability 3 Anchor · 3 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 4 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

13:15 Newmarket

Boiling Point

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

13:43 Hexham

Northern Milan

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 37% against market 25% -- +12.3pp edge.

3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 5/1

13:50 Newmarket

Apulia Bay

Anchor at 5/1. Model probability 28% against market 17% -- +11.0pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/1

15:40 Newmarket

Naval Tribute

Core at 9/1. Model probability 20% against market 10% -- +10.1pp edge.

5 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/2

16:25 Fairyhouse

Dairy Force

Core at 11/2. Model probability 22% against market 15% -- +7.1pp edge.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 8/1

16:32 York

Minstrel Knight

Core at 8/1. Model probability 20% against market 11% -- +9.0pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Boiling Point / decimal —

2 Northern Milan / decimal —

3 Apulia Bay / decimal —

4 Naval Tribute / decimal —

5 Dairy Force / decimal —

6 Minstrel Knight / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 63,180/1 -- a 1 in 4,500 chance of all six. Split 3 anchors, 3 cores.