Sly Man's ACCA — Friday 9 October 2026

Combined price 50,018/1 ✓ 5× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,000 LOW

Shape · Stability 3 Anchor · 3 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 5 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/2

14:40 York

Harper Violet

Core at 11/2. Model probability 22% against market 15% -- +7.1pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/4

15:58 Downpatrick

Fuusland

Anchor at 11/4. Model probability 34% against market 27% -- +7.0pp edge.

3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 5/1

16:05 Kempton (AW)

Threelittleangels

Anchor at 5/1. Model probability 28% against market 17% -- +11.0pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 8/1

16:55 Chepstow

Kapitein Kool

Core at 8/1. Model probability 22% against market 11% -- +11.3pp edge.

5 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 17/2

19:00 Dundalk (AW)

Ohailbhic

Core at 17/2. Model probability 20% against market 11% -- +9.6pp edge.

6 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

20:00 Dundalk (AW)

Cooley's Mist

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 31% against market 25% -- +6.0pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Harper Violet / decimal —

2 Fuusland / decimal —

3 Threelittleangels / decimal —

4 Kapitein Kool / decimal —

5 Ohailbhic / decimal —

6 Cooley's Mist / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 50,018/1 -- a 1 in 4,000 chance of all six. Split 3 anchors, 3 cores.