Sly Man's ACCA — Tuesday 29 September 2026

Combined price 64,838/1 ✓ 6× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,900 LOW

Shape · Stability 2 Anchor · 4 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 5 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 17/2

15:38 Ayr

Count Palatine

Core at 17/2. Model probability 20% against market 11% -- +9.6pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

15:45 Sedgefield

Zamond

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 28% against market 20% -- +7.6pp edge.

3 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/2

15:55 Cork

Manton Bay

Core at 11/2. Model probability 28% against market 15% -- +12.2pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 6/1

17:07 Bath

The Thames Boatman

Core at 6/1. Model probability 22% against market 14% -- +8.2pp edge.

5 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Gilded Call

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 31% against market 25% -- +6.0pp edge.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Billy Bathgate

Core at 13/2. Model probability 22% against market 13% -- +9.1pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Count Palatine / decimal —

2 Zamond / decimal —

3 Manton Bay / decimal —

4 The Thames Boatman / decimal —

5 Gilded Call / decimal —

6 Billy Bathgate / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 64,838/1 -- a 1 in 4,900 chance of all six. Split 2 anchors, 4 cores.