Sly Man’s ACCA 6

The dream ticket — Wednesday 23 September 2026

Six legs. Six different races. A combined price aimed at 50,000/1. Not a betting strategy — a dream ticket, honestly built.

Combined price 28,401/1 ✓ 3× minimum Target: 10,001/1
Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 3,800 LOW
Shape · Stability 4 Anchor · 2 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 5 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1
13:47 Redcar
Hope of Acklam

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 30% against market 25% -- +5.1pp edge.

Model
30%
Edge
+5.1pp
Dec
4.00
LOST Verify
2 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 15/2
15:05 Listowel
Granlahan

Core at 15/2. Model probability 20% against market 12% -- +8.4pp edge.

Model
20%
Edge
+8.4pp
Dec
8.50
2ND Verify
3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/4
15:15 Goodwood
Respond

Anchor at 11/4. Model probability 34% against market 27% -- +7.0pp edge.

Model
34%
Edge
+7.0pp
Dec
3.75
WON — 1ST Verify
4 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2
15:22 Perth
Caballo de Guerra

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

Model
28%
Edge
+5.4pp
Dec
4.50
2ND Verify
5 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2
16:20 Kempton (AW)
Playing Card

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

Model
28%
Edge
+5.4pp
Dec
4.50
2ND Verify
6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/1
17:00 Goodwood
Mister Bluebird

Core at 10/1. Model probability 20% against market 9.1% -- +11.0pp edge.

Model
20%
Edge
+11.0pp
Dec
11.00
LOST Verify

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Hope of Acklam / decimal —
2 Granlahan / decimal —
3 Respond / decimal —
4 Caballo de Guerra / decimal —
5 Playing Card / decimal —
6 Mister Bluebird / decimal —
Returns include stake.
  • Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
    1. Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
      1. Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
        1. Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
          1. Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
            1. Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —
              If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

              A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

              Why these six?

              The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 28,401/1 -- a 1 in 3,800 chance of all six. Split 4 anchors, 2 cores.