Core at 13/2. Model probability 22% against market 13% -- +9.1pp edge.
Sly Man’s ACCA 6
The dream ticket — Sunday 20 September 2026
Six legs. Six different races. A combined price aimed at 50,000/1. Not a betting strategy — a dream ticket, honestly built.
Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.
Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 28% against market 20% -- +7.6pp edge.
Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.
Anchor at 5/2. Pick Winner rates it 31% with a +2.4pp edge to market.
Anchor at 10/3. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +4.5pp edge to market.
Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.
Break it down
Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.
Odds — edit any leg
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Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
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Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
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Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
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Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
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Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
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Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —
A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.
Why these six?
The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 11,517/1 -- a 1 in 2,900 chance of all six. Split 5 anchors, 1 core.