Sly Man's ACCA — Friday 18 September 2026

Combined price 50,490/1 ✓ 5× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,500 LOW

Shape · Stability 3 Anchor · 3 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 5 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 4/1

14:57 Newbury

Weleyff

Anchor at 4/1. Model probability 28% against market 20% -- +7.6pp edge.

2 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/1

15:40 Ayr

French Affair

Core at 10/1. Model probability 20% against market 9.1% -- +11.0pp edge.

3 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/1

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Based

Core at 7/1. Model probability 22% against market 12% -- +10.0pp edge.

4 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 2/1

17:25 Dundalk (AW)

Force Noir

Anchor at 2/1. Pick Winner rates it 37%, well clear of its next-best rival.

5 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

17:30 Newton Abbot

God of Fire

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 15/2

19:30 Dundalk (AW)

Daonethatgotaway

Core at 15/2. Model probability 20% against market 12% -- +8.4pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Weleyff / decimal —

2 French Affair / decimal —

3 Based / decimal —

4 Force Noir / decimal —

5 God of Fire / decimal —

6 Daonethatgotaway / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 50,490/1 -- a 1 in 4,500 chance of all six. Split 3 anchors, 3 cores.