Sly Man's ACCA — Monday 14 September 2026

Combined price 11,583/1 ✓ Target reached Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,400 LOW

Shape · Stability 6 Anchor · 0 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 3 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 5/1

13:42 Windsor

Newfangled

Anchor at 5/1. Model probability 22% against market 17% -- +5.8pp edge.

2 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/3

14:51 Thirsk

Dissenter

Anchor at 10/3. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +4.5pp edge to market.

3 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

15:51 Thirsk

Paroda Diva

Anchor at 9/2. Pick Winner rates it 22% with a +4.3pp edge to market.

4 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Lovely Jubly

Anchor at 7/2. Pick Winner rates it 25% with a +2.8pp edge to market.

5 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Farasan

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

6 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Grey Tamam

Anchor at 3/1. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +2.6pp edge to market.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Newfangled / decimal —

2 Dissenter / decimal —

3 Paroda Diva / decimal —

4 Lovely Jubly / decimal —

5 Farasan / decimal —

6 Grey Tamam / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 11,583/1 -- a 1 in 4,400 chance of all six. Split 6 anchors.