Sly Man's ACCA — Sunday 13 September 2026

Combined price 41,479/1 ✓ 4× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 6,800 LOW

Shape · Stability 3 Anchor · 3 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 2 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 15/2

13:25 Doncaster

Ancient State

Core at 15/2. Model probability 20% against market 12% -- +8.4pp edge.

2 ANCHOR BET 7/2

13:55 Doncaster

Asuka

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

3 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 10/3

16:00 Curragh

Dr Rascal

Anchor at 10/3. Model probability 31% against market 23% -- +7.9pp edge.

4 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 11/2

16:15 Doncaster

Winged Messenger

Core at 11/2. Model probability 22% against market 15% -- +7.1pp edge.

5 ANCHOR WATCH ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 9/2

16:50 Doncaster

Mighty Magnus

Anchor at 9/2. Pick Winner rates it 22% with a +4.3pp edge to market.

6 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 6/1

17:20 Doncaster

Dandy Magic

Core at 6/1. Model probability 20% against market 14% -- +5.8pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Ancient State / decimal —

2 Asuka / decimal —

3 Dr Rascal / decimal —

4 Winged Messenger / decimal —

5 Mighty Magnus / decimal —

6 Dandy Magic / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 41,479/1 -- a 1 in 6,800 chance of all six. Split 3 anchors, 3 cores.