Sly Man's ACCA — Friday 11 September 2026

Combined price 28,080/1 ✓ 3× minimum Target: 10,001/1

Chance of all six · Confidence 1 in 4,000 LOW

Shape · Stability 4 Anchor · 2 Core · 0 Booster Steady · 5 of 6 legs shared with runner-up 3 courses · 6 races

Long shot. At least one leg is Speculative. Chase odds, not conviction -- horse racing's unpredictability factor is baked in.

1 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 5/1

13:50 Doncaster

Caragio

Anchor at 5/1. Model probability 22% against market 17% -- +5.8pp edge.

2 ANCHOR WATCH 10/3

14:25 Doncaster

Final Objective

Anchor at 10/3. Pick Winner rates it 28% with a +4.5pp edge to market.

3 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/1

14:36 Sandown

Adalida

Core at 7/1. Model probability 20% against market 12% -- +7.6pp edge.

4 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 7/2

15:47 Sandown

Cilician

Anchor at 7/2. Model probability 28% against market 22% -- +5.4pp edge.

5 CORE BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 13/2

17:32 Sandown

Royal Poetry

Core at 13/2. Model probability 25% against market 13% -- +11.7pp edge.

6 ANCHOR BET ⚠ THIN SIGNAL 3/1

17:58 Salisbury

Quickthorn

Anchor at 3/1. Model probability 34% against market 25% -- +8.7pp edge.

Break it down

Six legs generate 63 combinations — a Lucky 63. Edit any leg's odds or the stake per line and every payout below recomputes.

Stake per line £

Total outlay £63.00 63 combinations

Odds — edit any leg

1 Caragio / decimal —

2 Final Objective / decimal —

3 Adalida / decimal —

4 Cilician / decimal —

5 Royal Poetry / decimal —

6 Quickthorn / decimal —

Returns include stake.

Singles 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Doubles 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Trebles 20 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Four-folds 15 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Five-folds 6 lines Outlay £— If all 6 land —
Six-fold 1 line Outlay £— If all 6 land —

If every leg lands, all 63 lines pay £—

A calculator, not advice. Six-leg accumulators are variance-dominated at any edge — see the primer.

Why these six?

The optimiser searched today's Pick Winner selections for the six most likely to win that still multiply to at least 10,001/1. Result: 28,080/1 -- a 1 in 4,000 chance of all six. Split 4 anchors, 2 cores.