Ballinrobe 19:00 RESULTED
26 May 2026

Last Tuesday Monroe's Live John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle

Monroe's Live John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle · 2m13y

548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Monroe's Live John & Margaret Monroe Memorial Mares Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Paul's Dream (IRE) Danny Mullins · Anthony Mullins
    100/30
  2. Second Astelia (IRE)
    3/1
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Grainne A Chroi silks
Grainne A Chroi Non-Runner
Age 7 · 11-12
42/1P-
129
111
133
7
11-12
9/2 9/2 4/1
Shown a good standard of form in mares' races, notably when winning the Grade 3 Quevega at Punchestown (2m4f, soft); out of her depth against high-class geldings last time; probably best over further and with an ease.
4
Miss Manzor silks
Miss Manzor
Age 6 · 11-1
64P/P-
118
87
133
6
11-1
28/1 22/1 25/1
Has struggled in three different categories (hurdle/Flat/chase) on her last three starts; needs to show signs of a revival before becoming a betting proposition again.
AI verdict

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Kabylia silks
Kabylia
Age 6 · 10-5
22306-
108
116
134
6
10-5
9/1 15/2 9/1
Bumper winner; placed on all four maiden hurdle starts; well beaten in two handicap hurdle attempts; still relatively early days, so should not be ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Astelia silks
Astelia
Age 7 · 10-0
2270-2
103
124
139
7
10-0
3/1 FCST 11/4
Runner-up in five of her seven hurdle starts; may score now after a solid display at Down Royal on her first run since November; suited by good ground.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Regards To Rose silks
Regards To Rose
Age 7 · 10-0
24351-
103
116
129
7
10-0
15/2 6/1 15/2
Fairly consistent before winning at Listowel last September, may need this after a break.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
You Make Me Smile silks
You Make Me Smile
Age 8 · 10-0
/8315-
103
99
122
8
10-0
9/1 14/1 9/1
Has been running well on the Flat; fair hurdles record but 13lb out of the handicap here; tough task in the circumstances, though rider's 5lb allowance will help.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Grainne A Chroi 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
4 Miss Manzor 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Kabylia 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 William Hill
8 Astelia 3/1 11/4 11/4 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 3/1 Bet365
9 Regards To Rose 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 William Hill
10 You Make Me Smile 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Astelia

Live signal

Astelia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Peter Fahey Sam Ewing
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Regards To Rose

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
✓ Value Signal

Miss Manzor

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Astelia
66.0 3/1
2 9. Regards To Rose
59.8 15/2
3 6. Kabylia
57.9 9/1
4 10. You Make Me Smile
53.2 9/1
5 4. Miss Manzor
44.9 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Astelia
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 7 · 10-0
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 124 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 7 · 10-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 10-5
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 8 · 10-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Astelia
Confidence: Medium

Astelia leads the field with SR 124 and is trading at 3/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Astelia, Kabylia, Regards To Rose, Grainne A Chroi, You Make Me Smile
Each-way: Kabylia Danger: Regards To Rose

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Ballinrobe Track and setting