Cartmel 16:30 RESULTED
Class 5 23 May 2026

Saturday 23 May Molson Coors Handicap Chase

Molson Coors Handicap Chase · 3m1f107y

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Molson Coors Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Halfway House Lad (GB) Charlotte Jones · James Moffatt
    6/5F
  2. 15/2
  3. 20/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Defence Witness silks
Defence Witness
Age 7 · 11-8
21272-
94
77
104
7
11-8
5/2 4/1 5/2
Justified favouritism over 2m5f on this card last year (good to soft), and added a Catterick stayers' event in the winter, both off 4lb lower; all wins on good to soft and soft but last month's Sedgefield second on good was the equal of his peak soft-ground form; chance.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Thehairyfella silks
Thehairyfella
Age 11 · 11-2
54P62-
88
68
102
11
11-2
6/1 13/2 6/1
Had a below-par Defence Witness behind when a C&D third off today's mark last June, and belatedly off the mark next time out back in Ireland; can go well after a break without necessarily being able to threaten a win.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Jakana silks
Jakana
Age 7 · 11-0
5PPP4-
86
62
102
7
11-0
11/1 18/1 10/1
Back on track to a certain extent when fourth switched to fences at Perth latest (3m, good), shaping as if further still is required; longer trip all to the good and is now 20lb lower than this time last year.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Kaviar Wood silks
Kaviar Wood
Age 6 · 10-13
4424F-
85
72
105
6
10-13
SP 9/2 13/2
Rarely a strong finisher in points or sub-3m hurdles previously but still full of running in the lead when falling at the last on February's Hereford chase debut (3m1f, heavy); up 2lb without winning but given time to recover, and despite the bigger field size this is race is no better.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Lights Are Green silks
Lights Are Green
Age 9 · 10-13
6P4PP-
85
58
9
10-13
25/1 28/1 22/1
C&D record of 2-7 includes victory in this race in 2023 off 5lb higher (good); pulled up in last year's renewal, however, and other results last term offer scant optimism on this return from seven months off.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Jet Light silks
Jet Light
Age 7 · 10-11
77P/8-
83
52
7
10-11
SP FCST 12/1
Still early days in handicaps, but fences and cheekpieces (retained nonetheless) elicited no improvement on recent return from a year out.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Mistymal silks
Mistymal
Age 8 · 10-11
P63/6-
83
73
102
8
10-11
15/2 10/1 15/2
Form of October 2024's Hereford chase debut win (3m1f, good) has been consolidated rather than improved upon; fair record after long absences but realistically needs the wind surgery since last seen to elicit improvement.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Halfway House Lad silks
Halfway House Lad
Age 7 · 10-10
5366-1
82
80
106
7
10-10
5/4 Evs 6/5
5lb out of the weights when romping home on recent stable debut at Hexham (3m, good); now 8lb higher and all wins have been gained at Newcastle or Hexham so still has some convincing to do around a sharp track.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Croagh Patrick silks
Croagh Patrick
Age 11 · 10-6
21P9P/
78
54
11
10-6
40/1 33/1 40/1
Back on the lowly mark off which he snapped a long losing run in December 2024 at Carlisle (3m2f, soft); remains to be seen what ability remains on this stable debut following 14 months out.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Fast Deal silks
Fast Deal
Age 9 · 10-2
P86FP-
74
50
9
10-2
200/1 FCST 150/1
Approaching two years since he last showed any form to speak of, and has a lot to prove from 9lb out of the weights this time.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Defence Witness 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.50 11/4 William Hill
3 Thehairyfella 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Jakana 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Kaviar Wood 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Lights Are Green 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Jet Light 14/1 14/1 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Mistymal 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 Betfred
9 Halfway House Lad 5/4 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 5/4 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 Betfred
10 Croagh Patrick 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Fast Deal 200/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Defence Witness

Speculative

Defence Witness owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Sam England Richie McLernon
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Halfway House Lad

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · James Moffatt
✓ Value Signal

Croagh Patrick

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Gillian Boanas
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Defence Witness
55.3 5/2
2 9. Halfway House Lad
54.3 5/4
3 3. Thehairyfella
51.8 6/1
4 8. Mistymal
51.7 15/2
5 5. Kaviar Wood
48.6 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Halfway House Lad
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 7 · 10-10
5/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-8
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 11 · 11-2
6/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 8 · 10-11
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-0
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Halfway House Lad
Confidence: Medium

Halfway House Lad leads the field with SR 80 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-10 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Halfway House Lad, Defence Witness, Mistymal, Kaviar Wood, Thehairyfella
Each-way: Defence Witness Danger: Mistymal

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m1f107y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade