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18:00 Southwell (AW) 8 Oct 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)

  • 12 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m13y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Kaito

Jack Callan George Boughey

63SR 64RPR 64OR 6/5Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 29 · Field avg 33 -4

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jack Callan 114 wins from 837 rides 14 WIN %
  • George Boughey 240 wins from 1321 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 25 wins from 147 together 17WIN %
2

Temple Court

Callum Hutchinson Eve Johnson Houghton

60SR 71RPR 64OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 52 · Field avg 33 +19

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 17% +33

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 982 rides 12 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 176 wins from 1367 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 17 wins from 90 together 19WIN %
3

Arlecchino's Moon

Clifford Lee Mark Usher

54SR 57RPR 63OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 33 +11

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 17% +33

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Clifford Lee 277 wins from 1637 rides 17 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 5 together 60WIN %
4

Thunda Struck

Silvestre De Sousa David Loughnane

55SR 75RPR 61OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+2 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 33 +8

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 17% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Silvestre De Sousa 223 wins from 1615 rides 14 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 99 wins from 854 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 21 together 19WIN %
5

Solar Mission

William Cox Georgina Nicholls

27SR 58RPR 60OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 33 -8

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • William Cox 34 wins from 683 rides 5 WIN %
  • Georgina Nicholls 19 wins from 209 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 42 together 7WIN %
6

Unbeatable Fame

Cam Hardie Richard & Peter Fahey

34SR 66RPR 58OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 33 0

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 17% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Cam Hardie 124 wins from 2097 rides 6 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 57 together 4WIN %
7

Casablanca Dream

Marco Ghiani Marco Botti

55SR 64RPR 57OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+23 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 33 +6

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 17% +33

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Marco Ghiani 276 wins from 1721 rides 16 WIN %
  • Marco Botti 145 wins from 902 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 57 wins from 248 together 23WIN %
8

Courage Best

Darragh Keenan Rod Millman

58SR 67RPR 56OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 33 +4

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Darragh Keenan 130 wins from 1318 rides 10 WIN %
  • Rod Millman 145 wins from 1122 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 28 together 7WIN %
9

Strong Performance

Cieren Fallon William Knight

47SR 56RPR 55OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 33 -8

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Cieren Fallon 336 wins from 1914 rides 18 WIN %
  • William Knight 93 wins from 674 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 9 wins from 71 together 13WIN %
10

Purrista

Joanna Mason Gemma Tutty

29SR 60RPR 50OR 100/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 33 -8

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Joanna Mason 209 wins from 1736 rides 12 WIN %
  • Gemma Tutty 64 wins from 602 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 57 together 18WIN %
11

Le Grand Etoile

Sean Dylan Bowen Charlie Johnston

40SR 57RPR 46OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 33 -8

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Dylan Bowen 125 wins from 1139 rides 11 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 336 wins from 2578 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 76 together 14WIN %
12

Ubettanotblink

Andrew Mullen Craig Lidster

13SR 37RPR 33OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 21 · Field avg 33 -12

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 17% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Andrew Mullen 159 wins from 1576 rides 10 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 69 wins from 597 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
9 Drifters
1 Flat