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14:45 Killarney 4 Oct 2026 Charlie Foley's Rated Novice Hurdle

  • 7 Runners
  • 2m1f0y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Belladaball

Keith Donoghue Gavin Cromwell

143SR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 53 -7

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 52% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Keith Donoghue 170 wins from 1322 rides 13 WIN %
  • Gavin Cromwell 371 wins from 3230 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 122 wins from 859 together 14WIN %
2

Lips Freedom

Donagh Meyler Andrew Kinirons

122SR 118OR 6/5Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-38 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 53 +3

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 10 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 52% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Donagh Meyler 122 wins from 1071 rides 11 WIN %
  • Andrew Kinirons 15 wins from 201 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 8 together 25WIN %
3

Cocofred

Darragh O'Keeffe Henry de Bromhead

116SR 117OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+50 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 53 -2

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 52% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Darragh O'Keeffe 253 wins from 1942 rides 13 WIN %
  • Henry de Bromhead 386 wins from 2383 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 135 wins from 740 together 18WIN %
5

Firebrand

Alan O'Sullivan(5) John J Nallen

119SR 115OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+17 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 53 +11

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 2 placed · 12 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 52% -35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Alan O'Sullivan(5) 36 wins from 369 rides 10 WIN %
  • John J Nallen 20 wins from 193 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 3 together 33WIN %
6

Celtic Alliance

Jack Kennedy Gordon Elliott

154SR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 53 +11

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 1 run

This runner 100% · Field avg 52% +48

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jack Kennedy 281 wins from 1245 rides 23 WIN %
  • Gordon Elliott 716 wins from 4080 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 259 wins from 1128 together 23WIN %
7

Rosenborg

Mr R Sugrue(7) P J Rothwell

104SR 109OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+18 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 53 -3

Going Record

on Good
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 52% +15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Mr R Sugrue(7) 4 wins from 87 rides 5 WIN %
  • P J Rothwell 135 wins from 1803 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 49 together 6WIN %
8

No Mon No Fun

Carl Millar(5) Darren Collins

92SR 104OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-60 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 53 -12

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 52% -19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Carl Millar 31 wins from 294 rides 11 WIN %
  • Darren Collins 6 wins from 143 runners 4 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
3 Drifters
2 Flat