Smith Brothers / H. Malone Handicap Stakes · 7f14y
SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Soul Warrior | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Elias Escape | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 Betfred |
| 3 Sonbelievable | 15/2 open 12.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Territorial Star | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 5 Ice Show | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Tago Mago | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Lanarra | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Claytons Kolatonic | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 9 Trucial Pearl | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 Coral |
| 10 Dream Forever | 8/1 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Forever Twenty | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Diamond Aura | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Lady Grey | 50/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Nefyn Queen | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | — | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lanarra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lanarra (SR:63, 5/1, Wgt:9-6) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only one with a confirmed win at Newcastle (Course:W1P1), giving her a meaningful course advantage on a track where familiarity matters. Her recent form string 343513 shows consistent competitiveness — a win three runs back and a third last time out — and her DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ on good AW are both acceptable rather than red flags. At 9-6 she carries 7lb less than top-weight Soul Warrior (SR:60) despite holding a 3-point SR edge, which is a tangible weight advantage. The MarkMv:+3 is a mild negative but Class 6 at this trip is exactly where she has shown her best form and no other runner combines SR leadership, course form, and workable weight. Each-way alternative: Elias Escape. Main danger: Elias Escape — Elias Escape (SR:57, 7/1, Wgt:9-9) has steamed in 31% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:- concerns, that level of money in a Class 6 AW handicap usually signals stable confidence that can override moderate form-book signals.