Clonmel Handicap Hurdle · 2m0f166y
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 102 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 88 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 St Denis's Well | 20/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Nelson Muntz | 13/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Stepdance | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Dairy Force | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3/1 | 10/3 Coral |
| 5 Vaureal | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Kazakh d'Arthel | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Earthwatch | 18/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 8 Silly Mongoose | 20/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Champagne Dawn | 18/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Home By The Sea | 9/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 11 Max Meridius | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Kome Dans Un Reve | 33/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Vaureal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 102 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 88 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Vaureal (SR 109, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and returns off a 116-day break following a last-time-out win, with a MarkMv:-9 indicating he runs off a mark 9lb below his last winning mark — a tangible advantage. Keith Donoghue's booking (13% career strike rate, 1300 runners) is significantly stronger than any other jockey in this field and signals the yard's #1 intention in the Donoghue stable. Although GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground and DistFit:? flags an untested trip, the SR superiority (SR 109 vs nearest rival Dairy Force at SR 100) and the drop in effective mark outweigh these reservations. The market drift of 16% is noted but in a modest €7,200 prize handicap, yard confidence expressed through the jockey booking carries more weight than early-market money. Each-way alternative: Dairy Force. Main danger: Dairy Force — Dairy Force (SR 100, 10/3) is the shortest-priced runner, trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate, 4022 runners — the strongest trainer in the field), was out just 13 days ago showing peak fitness, and holds a Course:W0P1 course placing alongside GoingFit:~ suggesting reasonable ground compatibility, making him the most credible threat to Vaureal despite the SR gap.