Winless in his last five starts but the second two starts back shows Laafi retains plenty of ability, and he has run over today's trip and going; carrying 166 lb is the one question mark, though our rating of 157 marks him as the one to beat in a field of 17.
Form last 655D-28
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
135SR157RPR142OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 135 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked third of 17 on our ratings, Helvic Dream is winless in recent starts but his second four starts back hints at quality capable of troubling the field; the main concern is a trainer yet to strike from 24 attempts in the past fortnight.
Form last 6/200-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR150RPR136OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Paul's Dream won last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, but carrying 160 lb looks a stiff ask against stronger-rated rivals, and her ranking of tenth in this field of 17 suggests she faces a tough ask here.
Form last 6-51131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
127SR134RPR136OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Consistent and thereabouts in his last five starts — third last time out, second two back, and a winner five starts back — Gameball has experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 145 makes him a clear danger, though the 57-day break is the one thing to watch.
Form last 6143-23
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
132SR145RPR135OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ragmans Corner won two starts back and was second three starts back, so he arrives with solid recent claims, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, he was only fourth last time out and his 158 lb burden is a stiff ask.
Form last 6142-14
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
131SR141RPR134OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Starting Fifteen showed a win and a second in recent starts but has been out of the frame in his last two, and the 57-day absence is a concern; he has run over today's trip and going, and 158 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
Form last 62175-0
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
128SR145RPR134OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Autumn Twist arrives on the back of back-to-back placed efforts culminating in a win last time out, and has experience of today's distance and going in his favour, though a weight of 157 lb and a ranking of sixth of seventeen suggest he faces a stiff task against stronger rivals.
Form last 65P6-21
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
116SR141RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 116 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Venusienne bounced back to winning form last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but 58 days off the track and a burdensome 157 lb keep the confidence in check.
Form last 6P/1-31
★AI Rating★★★★☆
133SR141RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 133 backed by market confidence at 10/3 — a genuine contender.
Beaten well out of the places in two of her last five starts, and ranked well below the top of this field on our figures, Run For Mahler faces a stiff task at 156 lb, though she does bring winning form and distance-and-going experience to the table.
Form last 6219-61
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
104SR131RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked second of seventeen on our ratings and carrying 153 lb over a trip and going he has encountered before, Path d'Oroux shapes as a leading threat despite being yet to win in his last five starts, though a trainer without a winner in 39 attempts over the past fortnight is the concern.
Form last 64950-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
103SR152RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Placed twice in her last five starts, including second last time out, Thisistheway arrives fit on 17 days' rest with distance and going experience to call on, though carrying 153 lb and yet to win in recent starts may count against her in a competitive field.
Form last 632F-42
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR135RPR129OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fiver Friday has placed in three of her last five starts, winning two starts back, though she comes here after 83 days off, a trainer in the depths of a 0/39 run, and a testing 150 lb to carry; experience over today's trip and going offers some encouragement.
Form last 67221-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR133RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 13 of 17 on our figures, Cosmos d'Ainay is hard to fancy, and returning just two days after his last outing raises a fitness flag; in his favour, he was third last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, though 147 lb is a stiff burden.
Form last 693-113
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
117SR133RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Malbay Madness is hard to fancy at the weights carrying 145 lb, and a 47-day absence adds to the query, though he has experience of today's distance and going and is a winner last time out.
Form last 63-1181
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
110SR130RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sign From Above showed a win four starts back but has pulled up since and managed only seventh last time out, making him very difficult to fancy ranked 15 of 17 on our figures; experience over today's trip and going, and a 21-day freshener, offer slim consolation.
Form last 651P8-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR131RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 14th of 17 on our figures, Wholelotofbusiness is hard to fancy off 143 lb after consecutive eighths, though a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement and he has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 620-388
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
102SR132RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent without being a winner, Speed For Fun has finished second in his last three starts and has run over today's trip and going, though winless in recent starts and carrying 140 lb against a rating of 116 may blunt his chances of going one better.
Form last 6F222
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
119SR134RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Venusienne owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1W. P. MullinsHarry Cobden
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Gameball
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Henry de Bromhead✓ Value Signal
Path d'Oroux
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Gavin Cromwell◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Gameball (SR 132, 5/1, 11-5) is the strongest multi-signal case in the race. The market has steamed 25% — the sharpest meaningful move in the field on a horse already at a manageable price — and de Bromhead's 16% career strike rate with O'Keeffe at 13% represents a strong professional partnership. Crucially, Gameball carries both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmations, meaning today's 2m trip on Good going is an established comfort zone supported by winning form, and a form line of 143-23 shows consistent competitiveness at this level without the mark penalty concerns that dog rivals. No MarkMv flag also implies the current mark is at or around his last winning mark, removing a ceiling concern that applies to Ragmans Corner (+53lb above last win) and Laafi (+7).
Each-way alternative: Venusienne.
Main danger: Venusienne — Venusienne (SR 133, 10/3) is the Mullins number-one — identified by the Stable:1 flag, Harry Cobden booking (22% career SR), and a 28% market steam to shortest price in the field — and her form line of P/1-31 shows an improver that won last time out, making her the single most dangerous rival despite DistFit:? and GoingFit:? uncertainties on this specific trip and going.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Gameball's HG flag is 'h' (heavy ground specialist), yet today's going is Good — a surface he may not be as effective on despite the GoingFit:+ label.
57-day absence is a notable form gap; rivals Paul's Dream (18 days), Run For Mahler (24 days), and Starting Fifteen are fresher and race-ready.
Venusienne (SR:133, 10/3) has a higher star rating, stronger trainer/jockey combination (Mullins 26%/Cobden 22%), a bigger market move (+28%), and a Stable:1 flag indicating yard confidence — she is…
Starting Fifteen has steamed 28% — nearly matching Gameball's move — at a bigger price with a fresher profile, suggesting the market is not exclusively endorsing Gameball as the value play.