Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes (Listed) · 0m7f0y
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apollo's Comet | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bellesque | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Blonde Over Blue | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ibelieveicanfly | 11/4 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 5 Lady Patrona | 66/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Maeda Matsu | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 7 Maire Rua | 15/8 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Miss Cashman Hooke | 40/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Shi Yang | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 William Hill |
| 10 Snowing | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 67.00 | 22/1 open 67.00 | 20/1 open 67.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Timeless Tale | 9/4 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Timeless Tale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ibelieveicanfly leads the field on SR at 107, a meaningful edge over Maire Rua (SR 105) and Timeless Tale (SR 105), and crucially carries the Ryan Moore booking — a jockey with a 24% career strike rate in over 1,000 rides who rarely partners non-starters for A P O'Brien (23% trainer strike rate, the strongest in the field). The form figure of 42414 shows consistent competitiveness at this level and the horse ran in a Class 1 last time, so ClassMv:= confirms no step up into the unknown. The 20% market drift is the main concern, but Moore/A P O'Brien retained for a Listed race on this profile often signals the yard's genuine number-one string — the stablemate Snowing draws a junior booking (Boudot, 66 career rides) and a DistFit:- flag, confirming Ibelieveicanfly is the yard's intended runner. The headgear addition (hood, HG:h) suggests connections are seeking improved focus, a typical A P O'Brien Listed-day sharpener. Each-way alternative: Maire Rua. Main danger: Maire Rua — Maire Rua (SR 105, 2/1 favourite, market shortened 16%) holds a Course:W1P1 course record that Ibelieveicanfly lacks, is trained by G M Lyons (16% strike rate) with Colin Keane aboard (16% career strike rate, 2,283 rides), and the form figure of 13 — a Listed placing then a win — is notably tighter and more upwardly progressive than Ibelieveicanfly's mixed 42414 sequence.