Winless in his last four starts and absent for 278 days, Ezra Cee faces a stiff return to action, yet his experience over today's trip and a rating of 70 mark him out as a genuine third-ranked danger — the layoff is the one factor that could undermine his chances here.
Form last 6/3567-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Staniel Cay won three starts back but has found only a fourth and third since, and while he has run over today's trip and comes here fresh on 22 days' rest, carrying 137 lb may blunt his chance of recapturing that winning form.
Form last 6-54134
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR67RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Our Planet is lightly raced at the top of our rankings with a speed figure of 73 to his name, handles today's trip and conditions, and returns fit on just a 15-day turnaround from stall nine — the main concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
Form last 670-666
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR71RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Act Of Violence arrives here in decent nick, a winner two starts back and filling the placings last time out, carrying 135 lb from stall one over a trip and going he has experience of, and 24 days between runs suggests he returns fresh enough to go well again.
Form last 66-8413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR66RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Knicks at least posted a second two runs back to show he retains some ability, though a seventh last time out is harder to excuse; he has run over today's trip and going, and 45 days off leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 6536427
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR64RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jojo Rabbit has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround, yet he remains winless in his last six starts and a trainer in poor current form — just one from 28 recently — makes confidence difficult to muster.
Form last 6286404
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Black Missile is yet to win in his last five starts, but third two runs back hints at the ability to threaten, his experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset, and our rating has him narrowly top-rated — the risk is reproducing that level consistently.
Form last 64-5536
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR71RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Toptime is hard to fancy at the weights, but he does arrive on the back of solid recent form — placed last time out and a winner three starts back — with experience of today's trip and going in his favour.
Form last 64-3132
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR61RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Overbudget faces a stiff ask here; the best she can offer is distance and going experience and a return from a 32-day break, though ninth last time out offers little encouragement.
Form last 6283769
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR60RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Sergeant Mayer won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but he returns after 36 days with a trainer yet to strike in 23 recent attempts, and carrying 132 lb from stall 8 he faces a stiff ask to follow up.
Form last 6-06961
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR61RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, with finishes of eighth, seventh, sixth, fifth, fourth and ninth reading as a consistent tale of also-ran efforts, Just King High is hard to fancy ranked last of eleven on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 22-day break.
Form last 6945678
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR48RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Staniel Cay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Grant TuerOliver Stammers
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Act Of Violence
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Our Planet
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Michael Keady◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Knicks (SR:63, 3/1) shares the highest SR in the field but carries 9-9 — the same weight as Act Of Violence yet with the significant advantage of market confidence, having steamed in 19% from opening price. The Easterby yard runs at 9% but Joanna Mason is 11% across her career, and the tongue-tie application signals connections are trying to unlock improvement. The drop of one class (↓1) into Class 6 at a competitive price, combined with the market move, points to stable confidence. While GoingFit:- is a concern on good-to-soft, the market money arriving at 3/1 suggests connections believe the conditions are manageable, and at 5f the going plays less of a role than over longer trips.
Each-way alternative: Toptime.
Main danger: Toptime — Toptime (SR:61, 8/1) is the only runner with DistFit:+ at 5f, has a recent form string of 4-3132 showing genuine consistency at this class, and carries only 9-8 — 1lb less than Knicks — making it the most distance-proven horse in the field at a workable price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit marked '-' on good-to-soft is a concrete flag — connections have not confirmed suitability, and at 45 days since last run that fitness question compounds the going doubt.
Act Of Violence shares the same SR:63 with superior HG:t (confirmed going suitability) and is trained by Tony Carroll (13%) with De Sousa (13%) aboard — a stronger handler/jockey combination at 4/1.
45-day absence is the longest layoff in the field among principal contenders; the tongue-tie application suggests connections are masking a known issue rather than straightforward improvement.
Easterby yard runs at only 9% strike rate and Joanna Mason at 11% — the market steam to 3/1 may be overstated given the combined trainer/jockey statistics are well below industry average.
ShortlistKnicks, Toptime, Staniel Cay, Act Of Violence