Winless in his last three starts, the most recent of which came 143 days ago, Oh I Do Declare heads into this off the back of a ninth and two unplaced efforts, and our rating of 48 ranks him 19th of 24 — though he has run over today's trip before.
Albatala won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a balanced profile, though 55 days off the track introduces a fitness query and she faces 23 rivals carrying 142 lb from stall 9.
Form last 6269/41
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR61RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, Katherine arrives here on a quick ten-day turnaround carrying 142 lb from stall one, and while she has run over today's trip before, her recent string of unplaced efforts makes improvement essential.
Form last 67/60-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR60RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Pallatine Hills brings strong claims here, ranked second of 24 on our rating with a speed figure of 76 to his name, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that he is winless in his last five starts.
Form last 650-605
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR72RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in her last five starts, God Knows nonetheless carries a rating of 77 — top of 24 runners — and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going to call on; she maps as the one to beat despite her recent struggles.
Form last 6-09070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR77RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Make The Tide rates 62 on our figures, fourth-best of these, and bounced back to score last time out, giving her strong claims fresh from just three days ago; the main concern is whether that quick turnaround blunts her finishing effort here.
Form last 6866901
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
60SR62RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Neon Eyes shaped with promise when a close second two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going in her favour, but a 73-day absence combined with a trainer hitting only 5% in the last 14 days makes confidence harder to hold.
Form last 6-40429
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR66RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in his last three starts and absent for 110 days, African Affair arrives short of recent encouragement, though he has run over today's distance and going before and carries a manageable 133 lb from stall two.
Form last 60-08
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR57RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Second last time out and a winner six starts back, Alto Sax brings distance and going experience to the table and his our rating edges above his official mark, but that ninth two starts back is a concern and 133 lb is no featherweight ask.
Form last 6192592
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR59RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Jazz Forever has run over today's trip and going before, but winless in his last six starts with three consecutive unplaced efforts weighing against him; third four starts back offers some encouragement, and at 133 lb from stall three he has conditions to work with.
Form last 6483000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR57RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Mare Crisium has nonetheless shown consistency with a pair of fourths in recent outings and has experience of today's trip and conditions; 133 lb from stall 14 is the challenge as she tries to edge forward from seventh in the ratings.
Form last 6594465
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR61RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Nephin Mountain won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but carrying 133 lb from stall 19 and an official rating of 57 with patchy recent form — two wins and three disappointing efforts in his last six starts — suggests he is not without risks.
Form last 6051651
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR55RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won three starts back and filled the frame twice in recent starts, but she comes into this unplaced last time out, just five days on, and a high weight of 133 lb from stall 23 tests her stamina in a competitive 24-runner field.
Form last 6-23190
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR57RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 20th of 24 on our figures, Chloe's Boy faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick nine-day turnaround.
Form last 600600
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR48RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Kingcharles has struggled for consistency, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick nine-day turnaround from stall five carrying 129 lb; our rating of 58 suggests a shade more ability than his official mark of 53 implies.
Form last 608808
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in her last five starts and absent for over 300 days, Churchill Gale faces a stiff task from stall 20 carrying 126 lb, and her finishing positions offer little encouragement — though she has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 679468-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR55RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last six starts, De Songbird has struggled for consistency, though she has run over today's distance and going before and comes here on a sharp 14-day turnaround; carrying 125 lb from stall 11, she remains one to watch rather than follow blindly at this stage.
Form last 6760770
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR56RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Ranked 18th of 24 on our figures, Cause I Like You faces a stiff task on these ratings, though she was a winner three starts back and filled the runner-up spot last time out, suggesting some residual form to cling to; the return after just six days is the main query.
Form last 6652152
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
56SR54RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Miss Ivor faces a stiff task here; she does return on a short turnaround with going experience in her favour, but her recent string of unplaced efforts makes it hard to fancy her chances.
Form last 60-0900
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR48RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Capall Cuain faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's going before and 18 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 6000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
15SR29RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 23 of 24 on our figures, Bang Po faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a relatively quick turnaround of 11 days, but little else in his recent profile invites confidence.
Form last 6900600
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR42RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 22 of 24 on our figures, Haeret In Pectore arrives 125 days between runs and faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before and retains a featherweight 122 lb.
Form last 605-506
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR42RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last six starts and back just three days after his most recent unplaced effort, Giselles Defence faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 61 offers a sliver of encouragement from stall 15 carrying 134 lb.
Form last 6059050
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR61RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Make The Tide owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4W McCreeryW J Lee
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Alto Sax
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Peter Fahey✓ Value Signal
Churchill Gale
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Dermot A McLoughlin◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Make The Tide (SR:60, 6/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 3 points over the next best, carries a competitive 9-10, and the last-run '1' in the form string shows a win just 3 days ago — suggesting peak fitness and a yard happy to run them back quickly in confidence. Trainer W McCreery (9% strike rate, 422 runners) pairs with W J Lee (14%, 828 runners), the strongest jockey booking in the race. The MarkMv:-2 means the mark has barely shifted from the last win, so no punishing rise. GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is the one caveat, but with no DistFit data to condemn the trip and a 6-point SR advantage over the field, this is the standout selection in a modest €6,000 handicap.
Each-way alternative: Alto Sax.
Main danger: Nephin Mountain — Nephin Mountain (SR:58, 15/2) sits only 2 points below Make The Tide on SR, has confirmed good-ground form (GoingFit:+), showed a win last time out in a recent 051651 sequence, and trainer Mulvany runs at an 11% strike rate — the slight drift of 8% is a concern but the going fit is the strongest of any rival in the field.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Running back just 3 days after a win is an aggressive turnaround; 3-day bounce-back horses in Irish handicaps often fail to replicate the effort as fatigue sets in mid-race.
GoingFit:~ means no confirmed record on today's good ground — if Make The Tide's recent win came on a different surface, today's conditions are an untested variable.
Nephin Mountain (SR:58, 15/2) also won recently (form ending '1', Days:9, Stable:1) and carries only 9-7 vs 9-10, giving it a meaningful weight advantage in a 22-runner cavalry charge.
In a wide-open 22-runner €6,000 handicap, the 6/4 favourite price leaves almost no margin for error — any traffic trouble or slow break in a big field and the value is simply not there.
ShortlistMake The Tide, Nephin Mountain, Alto Sax, Cause I Like You