Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) · 2m0f110y
SR 90 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Belle Le Grand | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Holy Legend | 6/4 open 2.10 | 6/4 open 1.83 | 6/4 open 1.91 | 6/4 open 1.91 | 13/8 open 1.91 | 6/4 open 1.91 | 13/8 William Hill |
| 3 Four Decades | 20/1 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Culligran | 9/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 4.33 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Boom Boom | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Ballinoulart | 22/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Culligran owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Holy Legend (SR 94, 6/5) is the class-leader in this modest Class 5 field and arrives on a strong recent form line of 56-121 — a win and a second from the last two starts, showing peak form. Course form is a genuine asset: W1P2 at Worcester is a meaningful advantage on a track where course specialists regularly outperform. Despite carrying 11-8 and a MarkMv:+6 (running 6lb above last winning mark), the weight is still lighter than top-weight Belle Le Grand's 12-0, and the SR 94 comfortably heads the field by 4 points. Trainer Alexandra Dunn posts an 18% strike rate from a small but meaningful sample of 34 runners, and while James Best's 7% overall rate is a mild negative, the market support — even after an 11% drift — still has this horse at 6/5, reflecting its clear form superiority. Each-way alternative: Culligran. Main danger: Culligran — Culligran (SR 89, 3/1) carries a favourable 10-13 — a 9lb weight advantage over top-weight Belle Le Grand and 9lb less than Holy Legend — has course form (W0P1 at Worcester), a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and is trained by a yard whose low 3% strike rate is the main concern, but Kielan Woods (14%) is a capable booking who could compensate on a horse running off an unchanged mark from its last win.