Markel Richmond Stakes (Group 2) · 0m6f0y
Consistent and in fine recent fettle, Adaay of Scarlett has finished second in each of his last three starts after back-to-back wins, showing he retains ability; with experience of today's trip and going and 21 days fresh, he rates the one to beat from stall two.
Big Cigar won last time out and has run over today's trip, but that fifth two starts back is a blot on an otherwise solid recent record; 128 lb from stall seven is the challenge facing him here.
Cut A Dash won two starts back and returns on familiar distance and going terms, with our rating of 105 marking him out as a leading threat from stall 8; the main concern is whether 44 days off has left him short of peak sharpness.
Flann Sunna rates below the field on our figures despite back-to-back wins in his last two starts, and that speed rating of 69 gives little encouragement against stronger company here; he has run over today's trip and comes in fresh enough at 20 days, but it is hard to get enthusiastic from stall 10 carrying 128 lb.
Hickory Lad arrives in fine recent trim — a winner two starts back and third last time out, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at 128 lb from stall nine; the main risk is whether that weight anchors him late.
Ranked ninth of ten on our figures and his speed rating lags behind the principals, making him hard to fancy at the weights despite carrying 128 lb from stall five. That recent win offers some hope, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions.
Rated lowest in the field and his speed figure of 66 gives little encouragement, though he does bring a win eight days ago and experience of today's trip and conditions — hard to fancy against stronger company.
Mr Macartney showed what he's capable of with a win four starts back, but three subsequent finishes of seventh, seventh and sixth suggest he's in a difficult patch; has run over today's trip and going before, and 40 days off could freshen him up.
Back-to-back wins boost his claims, though he's been off 44 days and drops marginally below the official mark on our rating; has run over today's trip and going, and stall three is his draw from 128 lb.
Where Love Lives won two of his last three starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a serious contender from stall one carrying 128 lb — the concern is that unplaced effort on his most recent outing needs excusing.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Adaay of Scarlett | 15/2 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 7/1 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Big Cigar | 25/1 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Cut A Dash | 10/3 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Flann Sunna | 15/8 | — | 15/8 open 3.00 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Hickory Lad | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Jaan Ki Tukri | 22/1 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Man's Best Friend | 17/2 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Mr Macartney | 50/1 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Night In Vegas | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Where Love Lives | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Flann Sunna owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (91) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →No SR / RPR / TS data on the winner — its weight has been redistributed across the other signals.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFlann Sunna rates below the field on our figures despite back-to-back wins in his last two starts, and that speed rating of 69 gives little encouragement against stronger company here; he has run over today's trip and comes in fresh enough at 20 days, but it is hard to get enthusiastic from stall 10 carrying 128 lb.
Cut A Dash won two starts back and returns on familiar distance and going terms, with our rating of 105 marking him out as a leading threat from stall 8; the main concern is whether 44 days off has left him short of peak sharpness.
Back-to-back wins boost his claims, though he's been off 44 days and drops marginally below the official mark on our rating; has run over today's trip and going, and stall three is his draw from 128 lb.
Consistent and in fine recent fettle, Adaay of Scarlett has finished second in each of his last three starts after back-to-back wins, showing he retains ability; with experience of today's trip and going and 21 days fresh, he rates the one to beat from stall two.
Rated lowest in the field and his speed figure of 66 gives little encouragement, though he does bring a win eight days ago and experience of today's trip and conditions — hard to fancy against stronger company.
Hickory Lad arrives in fine recent trim — a winner two starts back and third last time out, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at 128 lb from stall nine; the main risk is whether that weight anchors him late.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.