Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
March Lilly owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Kevin RyanTom Eaves
79%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Tegernsee
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
12/1 · Hugo Palmer✓ Value Signal
Tegernsee
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Hugo Palmer◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
March Lilly carries the highest SR in the field at 154 — a significant 14-point edge over the next-best runners (Kanzi and Tegernsee at 140) and 69 points clear of the favourite Little Lady Karen (SR:85). Her only run produced a third, keeping the same class today (ClassMv:=), and while the 9% trainer strike rate for Kevin Ryan is modest, the SR advantage here is substantial enough to override that concern. The market has drifted 9% which is a mild negative, but at 7/2 she represents clear value relative to her ability rating versus a 6/5 favourite whose SR of 85 is workmanlike at best for this level.
Each-way alternative: Little Lady Karen.
Main danger: Little Lady Karen — Little Lady Karen is the 6/5 favourite with a consistent 3-2 form line, trained by the in-form K.R. Burke (19% strike rate — the best in the field), and while her SR of 85 is modest, she is clearly the market's preferred runner and a second place last time suggests she is ready to graduate.
ShortlistMarch Lilly, Little Lady Karen, Bymiddaytomorrow
Each-way: Little Lady KarenDanger: Little Lady Karen