Long Shot
SpeculativeLong Shot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Aldwark Manor Estate Luxury Yorkshire Hotel "confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Race In 2026) · 0m6f0y
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 43 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sergeant Mayer | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Get Up Everybody | 11/4 open 5.00 | — | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Von Trotter | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 9/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Oasis Cover | 12/1 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Act Of Violence | 10/3 open 3.75 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Jack Rabbit Slims | 9/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Mister Sky Blue | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Hurstwood | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Indy's Angel | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Long Shot | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Lady Bouquet | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Long Shot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 61 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 43 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Get Up Everybody (SR:61, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and the market has backed that up with a 14% market move in — the strongest steam in the race. Carrying 9-12 is a burden at this level, but the SR advantage over the next-best cluster (SR:57-58) is meaningful enough to absorb it. Paul Mulrennan (10% career strike rate, 957 rides) is a significant booking upgrade in context, and the 15-day turnaround after a recent run suggests the yard believes the horse is in form. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are moderate rather than negative, and at this Class 6 level on good ground over 6f, the combination of top SR, strongest market move, and quality jockey makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Von Trotter. Main danger: Act Of Violence — Act Of Violence (SR:57, 10/3) has Tony Carroll training and Silvestre De Sousa riding — arguably the strongest trainer/jockey combination in the race by strike rate — and at 9-8 carries 4lb less than the selection, which matters on good ground over 6f.