Fontwell 18:40 RESULTED
Class 5 14 May 2026

Thursday 14 May Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase

Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase · 2m3f104y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lunar Ocean (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Billy Aprahamian
    6/1
  2. 2/1F
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ballyfinn
Age 8 · 12-7
3744-1
77
104
8
12-7
9/2 5/2 9/2
Made the breakthrough on his fifth start over fences when scoring here (3m2f, good) last Wednesday; back down in trip under 7lb penalty but not fully exposed and looks a key player.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Jaffa Cake
Age 6 · 11-7
04PP7-
40
6
11-7
14/1
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Thickthorn Tom silks
Thickthorn Tom
Age 6 · 11-7
76P3-2
85
76
98
6
11-7
15/8 32/17 7/4
Eight-race maiden but he's been placed in the last two of his three chase runs including when a clear second at Fontwell (2m3f, good; tongue-tie added) 13 days ago; looks interesting off the same mark here and he should have more to offer over fences; leading contender.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lord Maher
Age 6 · 11-3
445B7-
81
104
6
11-3
14/1 25/1 12/1
AI verdict

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Lunar Ocean silks
Lunar Ocean
Age 7 · 10-9
524P-1
79
86
104
7
10-9
6/1 13/2 11/2
Made all to open account over C&D (good) in first-time blinkers ten days ago, his 11th start over fences; drew nicely clear of the others with the runner-up that day and was only raised 3lb; could be hard to catch.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Misteroddsocks
Age 6 · 10-12
3P631-
85
101
6
10-12
5/1 6/1 9/2
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ballyfinn 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 Coral
2 Jaffa Cake 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 William Hill
2 Thickthorn Tom 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 Bet365
4 Lord Maher 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 29.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Lunar Ocean 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
6 Misteroddsocks 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lunar Ocean

Speculative

Lunar Ocean owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Billy Aprahamian Gavin Sheehan
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thickthorn Tom

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Lord Maher

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Karen Jewell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Lunar Ocean
54.2 6/1
2 2. Thickthorn Tom
53.2 15/8
3 6. Misteroddsocks
50.8 5/1
4 1. Ballyfinn
50.3 9/2
5 4. Lord Maher
45.7 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lunar Ocean
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 11-7
15/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 12-7
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 6 · 10-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 10-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 6 · 11-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lunar Ocean
Confidence: Medium

Lunar Ocean leads the field with SR 86 and is trading at 7/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lunar Ocean, Misteroddsocks, Lord Maher, Ballyfinn, Thickthorn Tom
Each-way: Misteroddsocks Danger: Lord Maher

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m3f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade