Race Card Explorer BETA

14:45 Chester 11 Jul 2026 Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap (Div 1)

  • 9 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 7f127y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Percy's Lad

Edward Greatrex Daniel & Claire Kubler

83SR 87OR 9/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 39 +6

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Edward Greatrex 88 wins from 656 rides 13 WIN %
  • Daniel & Claire Kubler 31 wins from 204 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
2

Miami Matrix

Donagh Murphy(7) Patrick Morris

82SR 84OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 39 -1

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 32% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Donagh Murphy(7) 15 wins from 146 rides 10 WIN %
  • Patrick Morris 15 wins from 211 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %
3

Obelix

Dylan Hogan Julie Camacho

84SR 83OR 3/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 39 +1

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 0 placed · 10 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 32% -12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Dylan Hogan 18 wins from 204 rides 9 WIN %
  • Julie Camacho 29 wins from 276 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 5 together 20WIN %
4

Vixey

Aiden Brookes Simon West

71SR 77OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 39 +5

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 32% +35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Aiden Brookes 4 wins from 155 rides 3 WIN %
  • Simon West 2 wins from 21 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
6

He's A Gentleman

Jack Callan(3) Hugo Palmer

78SR 76OR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 39 +6

Going Record

on Good
45%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 11 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 32% +18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Callan 92 wins from 683 rides 13 WIN %
  • Hugo Palmer 93 wins from 774 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 16 together 0WIN %
7

Moon Beginnings

Laura Pearson David Loughnane

71SR 74OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 39 -11

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 10 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 32% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Laura Pearson 9 wins from 132 rides 7 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 53 wins from 510 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 67 together 7WIN %
8

Paws For Thought

David Allan Donald McCain

60SR 72OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 20 · Field avg 39 -19

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

7 wins, 7 placed · 48 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 32% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • David Allan 101 wins from 927 rides 11 WIN %
  • Donald McCain 9 wins from 112 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
9

Advance Twentyfive

Harry Russell Richard & Peter Fahey

55SR 78OR 22/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 39 -4

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 32% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Harry Russell 11 wins from 132 rides 8 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 47 wins from 486 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 19 together 5WIN %
10

Giant

Harry Davies Ian Williams

69SR 60OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 39 +17

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

1 win, 7 placed · 20 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 32% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Harry Davies 46 wins from 401 rides 11 WIN %
  • Ian Williams 83 wins from 658 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 5 together 20WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
6 Steamers
3 Drifters
0 Flat