Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) · 7f
Sole win in form and a 135 Saturday Rating show ability, but 9-5 weight and non-favourite market status limit confidence.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a limited form figure of 91, Celtic Charioteer's 135 Saturday Rating justifies a cautious mid-tier assessment.
Nola Soul's single win in form and 9-5 weight cap limit confidence despite a solid 135 Saturday Rating.
Low Saturday Rating of 130 and unfavoured market position at 9-5 weight suggest limited winning prospects.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a single form figure of 2 and no market confidence, Pikachu's 134 Saturday Rating fails to inspire.
Revels shows winning form but a Saturday Rating of 135 and 9-5 weight temper expectations in this Listed contest.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a single run of form showing a fourth place finish makes Romanza a risky proposition despite a Saturday Rating of 131.
A form figure of 4 and a Saturday Rating of 131 at 9-5 weight fail to inspire confidence against stronger market rivals.
Sword Salute's mid-tier 137 Saturday Rating and underwhelming form figures of 31 at 9-5 weight justify a cautious 3-star assessment.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a single run of form showing a third place finish, Sydney Carton's weak market position justified the low 2/5 star rating.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with limited form figures of 31 and a Saturday Rating of 137, Time For The Moon earns a cautious mid-tier three stars.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a single form figure of 3 and starting off the pace in the market, Whispering Moon's 131 Saturday Rating lacks the foundation for confidence.
Aperoll's single win in form and non-favourite market status limit confidence despite a solid 138 Saturday Rating at 9-0.
Bayside's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 139, inconsistent 316 form, and non-favourite market status limit confidence despite carrying 9-0.
Solid 138 Saturday Rating from a single winning run at 9-0 weight, but unproven form limits confidence beyond three stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Aix La Chapelle | 5/2 open 2.75 | — | 5/2 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 11/4 Ladbrokes |
| 2 Celtic Charioteer | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nola Soul | 9/2 open 12.00 | — | 5/1 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 12.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 4 On Just Terms | 14/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 Ladbrokes |
| 5 Pikachu | 18/1 open 23.00 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Ladbrokes |
| 6 Revels | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 Coral |
| 7 Romanza | 28/1 open 51.00 | — | 25/1 open 67.00 | 28/1 open 67.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 South Dakota | 8/1 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sword Salute | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Sydney Carton | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Time For The Moon | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 12 Whispering Moon | 40/1 | — | 33/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Aperoll | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 Ladbrokes |
| 14 Bayside | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Sea Venture | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 Ladbrokes |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Aix La Chapelle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSole win in form and a 135 Saturday Rating show ability, but 9-5 weight and non-favourite market status limit confidence.
Nola Soul's single win in form and 9-5 weight cap limit confidence despite a solid 135 Saturday Rating.
Solid 138 Saturday Rating from a single winning run at 9-0 weight, but unproven form limits confidence beyond three stars.
A form figure of 4 and a Saturday Rating of 131 at 9-5 weight fail to inspire confidence against stronger market rivals.
Revels shows winning form but a Saturday Rating of 135 and 9-5 weight temper expectations in this Listed contest.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with limited form figures of 31 and a Saturday Rating of 137, Time For The Moon earns a cautious mid-tier three stars.
Aperoll's single win in form and non-favourite market status limit confidence despite a solid 138 Saturday Rating at 9-0.
Low Saturday Rating of 130 and unfavoured market position at 9-5 weight suggest limited winning prospects.
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a single form figure of 2 and no market confidence, Pikachu's 134 Saturday Rating fails to inspire.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Aix La Chapelle (SR 135, 7/4) is a dominant market leader trained by Aidan O'Brien, whose operation consistently produces Royal Ascot-ready juveniles from debut wins. A sole career run of '1' on what will be similar fast ground gives a clean, unbeaten profile, and the market has compressed to 7/4 with clear conviction — this is not a drifter but a horse the market is actively backing. The 9-5 weight is uniform across most of the field, removing any meaningful lbs advantage for rivals, and the Chesham's Listed status plays to O'Brien's record of pitching lightly-raced, high-ceiling juveniles into exactly this type of contest. While Sea Venture (SR 138) and Aperoll (SR 138) carry marginally superior SRs on 9-0, the 5lb weight relief they enjoy is a fillies' allowance advantage rather than a genuine lbs edge over the colts, and neither commands anything close to the market confidence of the selection. Each-way alternative: Sea Venture. Main danger: Sea Venture — Sea Venture (SR 138, 11/2) carries the joint-highest SR alongside Aperoll, is unbeaten in '1', trained by George Scott who excels placing sharp juveniles at the right moment, and at 11/2 represents genuine market confidence that could translate into an upset if the O'Brien runner has any residual inexperience at 7f.