Nottingham 14:20 RESULTED
Class 5 31 May 2026

Yesterday Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 6f18y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bated Benevolence (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti
    13/2
  2. Second Harley (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 5/4F
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 18 hours, 26 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Grayrobin silks
Grayrobin
Age 2 · 9-7
44
2
9-7
13/2 4/1 13/2
43,000euros yearling, resold £36,000 yearling; by Havana Grey; first foal of a 5f AW winner, herself a sister to a 5f winner from a good sprinting family; stable's 2yos have made bright start to the year; betting to guide.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Harley silks
Harley
Age 2 · 9-7
5
46
65
2
9-7
12/1 11/1 12/1
Never a threat to the principals but he wasn't beaten far when fifth of six on his Hamilton debut (6f, good) 16 days ago; could leave that well behind in time.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Regal Chita silks
Regal Chita
Age 2 · 9-7
3
49
67
2
9-7
11/8 FCST 18/13
The penny dropped late on at Newmarket on his debut 16 days ago (6f, good), passing a few in the final furlong to snatch third close home; should be more streetwise today; key player.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Treasurer silks
Treasurer
Age 2 · 9-7
44
2
9-7
13/2 4/1 6/1
40,000euros yearling; twelfth foal; half-brother to seven winners including Gordon Bennett (5f/6f; RPR 102), Lorelei Rock (5f 2yo including Listed; 94) and Es Raco (Swedish Listed-placed 5f/6f including 2yo; 92); dam French 7.5f AW winner, half-sister to 1m2f Group 3 winner Regime; stable have had some 2yo success this year; market useful.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Whiskey Bent silks
Whiskey Bent
Age 2 · 9-7
44
2
9-7
22/1 25/1 18/1
50,000euros yearling, 32,500gns breeze-up 2yo; by Hello Youmzain; first foal of a French maiden from a useful family; stable off the mark with 2yos for the year; market to guide.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Zohar silks
Zohar
Age 2 · 9-7
9
35
54
2
9-7
14/1 14/1 12/1
25-1 when ninth of 13 at Newmarket 16 days ago (6f, good), finishing 4l behind Regal Chita; work to do to turn the tables; stable also run Treasurer.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Big Bad Storm silks
Big Bad Storm
Age 2 · 9-4
46
2
9-4
40/1 28/1 33/1
3,000gns foal, £27,000 yearling, £15,000 breeze-up 2yo; by Ubettabelieveit; fifth foal; half-brother to 6f-8.6f 2yo winner Isobar Wind (including AW; RPR 69); dam 5.7f/6f winner (including 2yo; 78), half-sister to useful 6f/7f winner Shimmering Dawn; stable had a newcomer win at the Craven meeting; not discounted.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Carry On Chaos silks
Carry On Chaos
Age 2 · 9-4
8
31
47
2
9-4
100/1 66/1 80/1
40-1 and never in the hunt on his recent Redcar debut (6f, good); may need more time.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Bated Benevolence silks
Bated Benevolence
Age 2 · 9-2
47
2
9-2
13/2 8/1 13/2
Second foal; Bated Breath half-sister to 7f AW winner Galileo Charm (RPR 68); dam unraced sister to useful 7f/7.7f winner One Nation; stable off the mark with 2yos (second time out); check the betting.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Poppy Foxy silks
Poppy Foxy
Age 2 · 9-2
47
2
9-2
12/1 9/1 11/1
21,000gns yearling; by Bungle Inthejungle; second foal of a 1m/1m2f winner (RPR 82), herself a half-sister to a Grade 3 winner in the US; stable yet to strike with 2yos this year (as of Friday evening) but she's bred for the job.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Thunda Struck silks
Thunda Struck
Age 2 · 8-13
25
66
81
2
8-13
10/1 13/2 10/1
Promising second at Ripon on debut (6f, good) but she failed to build on it at Leicester (5f, good to firm) three weeks ago; others stronger.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Grayrobin 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 Coral
2 Harley 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
3 Regal Chita 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.38 11/8 open 2.50 6/4 6/4 Coral
4 Treasurer 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Whiskey Bent 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Zohar 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Big Bad Storm 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Carry On Chaos 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365
9 Bated Benevolence 13/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Coral
10 Poppy Foxy 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Thunda Struck 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thunda Struck

Speculative

Thunda Struck owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (54). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/1 David Loughnane Laura Pearson
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Regal Chita

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Big Bad Storm

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Ismail Mohammed
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +11.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Thunda Struck
46.9 10/1
2 3. Regal Chita
46.9 11/8
3 9. Bated Benevolence
44.9 13/2
4 1. Grayrobin
41.5 13/2
5 2. Harley
41.3 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Thunda Struck
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-7
11/8
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 2 · 9-7
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 2 · 9-7
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 2 · 9-2
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 2 · 8-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 35 🐾

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Thunda Struck
Confidence: Medium

Thunda Struck leads the field with SR 66 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-13 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Thunda Struck, Regal Chita, Bated Benevolence, Poppy Foxy, Harley
Each-way: Regal Chita Danger: Bated Benevolence

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f18y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade