← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Oakenson Ltd Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Burdett Estate
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/1 Est. 10%
Mr Fox says
Burdett Estate (SR:62, 10/1) has steamed in 43% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — which is a significant signal in a 13-runner Class 5 handicap where market intelligence matters. It drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a manageable 9-11, and has proven form at this trip (DistFit:+), the only runner with a confirmed plus rating at 5f160y. The form string shows a recent '1' (rightmost) meaning it won last time out, giving it live confidence heading into today. Brian Toomey (12%) and Jack Callan (14%) are modest but competent connections, and the class drop combined with that market move makes this a compelling case. Each-way alternative: Kiss And Run. Main danger: Kiss And Run — Kiss And Run (SR:73, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-4, has confirmed GoingFit:+ on heavy ground, is a course specialist (W1P6 at Bath), and has had modest but real market support (Mkt:in9%) — the combination of top SR, proven going, and course form makes it the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Kiss And Run (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kiss And Run Fox #2 4/1
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2
Maharajas Express 10/1
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3
Pedros Dream 3/1
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4
Gelato 18/1
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5
Nogo's Dream 11/1
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6
Over Spiced Fox #3 8/1
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7
Thunderous Love 4/1
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8
Born Slippy 16/1
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9
Perfect Location 33/1
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10
Mumayaz 14/1
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11
Punchbowl Flyer 18/1
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12
Burdett Estate Fox #1 14/1
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—
Musical Soldier 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Burdett Estate 10/1 12TH
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2
Kiss And Run 5/1 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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3
Over Spiced 15/2 6TH