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Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap Stakes

13:16 Nottingham Wed 28 Oct 2026 0m5f8y Class 5 Heavy 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Duran silks

Duran

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 27%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Duran (SR 71, 10/3) is the top-rated horse in a field where no runner exceeds SR 71, and the market has backed it in 12% — meaningful support in a 10-runner Class 5 sprint on heavy ground. The MarkMv:-13 is the standout signal: running off a mark 13lb lower than his last win represents a massive handicap concession from the assessor, and the visor (HG:v) has been retained suggesting connections are happy with the headgear setup. Trainer Tinkler (11%) and jockey Scott (11%) are a functional combination, and Course:W0P2 shows Nottingham familiarity even without a win. The one note of caution is GoingFit:- — he has a poor record on heavy — but the 13lb drop in mark and the market confidence outweigh that reservation at this class level. Each-way alternative: Alnofoor. Main danger: Alnofoor — Alnofoor (SR 66, 3/1) is the market favourite with the second-highest SR in the field, has been backed in 28% — stronger money than Duran — and Ray Dawson (14% strike rate) is the best jockey on the card by career win percentage, though DistFit:- and an unproven going record (GoingFit:?) on heavy are genuine reservations that stop it being the selection.

Verify· #25758

Full result

Winner: Vince L'Amour (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Vince L'Amour silks Vince L'Amour Tim Easterby · David Allan 10/1
  2. 2 Campenaerts silks Campenaerts Jonathan Portman · Rob Hornby 14/1
  3. 3 Run This Way silks Run This Way Paul Midgley · Kieran O'Neill 7/1
  4. 4 Rambuso Creek silks Rambuso Creek Fox #3 Michael Herrington · Joanna Mason 5/1
  5. 5 Duran silks Duran Fox #1 Nigel Tinkler · Rowan Scott 11/4
  6. 6 Alnofoor silks Alnofoor Fox #2 Ms Claire O'Connell · Ray Dawson 11/4
  7. 7 Loco Lobo silks Loco Lobo Lisa Williamson · Connor Planas 50/1
  8. 8 Level Up silks Level Up David Evans · Amy Tucker(7) 14/1
  9. 9 Edgewater Drive silks Edgewater Drive Wilf Storey · Alex Jary(3) 12/1
  10. — Dragon Spin silks Dragon Spin Steph Hollinshead · Clifford Lee 12/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Duran silks Duran 10/3 5TH
  2. 2 Alnofoor silks Alnofoor 3/1 6TH
  3. 3 Rambuso Creek silks Rambuso Creek 11/2 🏁 4TH