James Crowe 1 Year Memorial Nursery Handicap

18:00 Dundalk (AW) Fri 16 Oct 2026 7f Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Yellow Sky

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 22%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Yellow Sky (SR:78, 7/2) sits second in the SR rankings and carries a favourable 9-4, 8lb lighter than top-weight This That (9-12). The standout signal is the Mkt:in37% — the most dramatic market move in the field by a wide margin — which tells us the market has materially re-assessed this horse's chances since opening. The tongue-tie (HG:p) first-time application often unlocks improvement in juveniles, and the J.P. Murtagh yard (11%, 1380 runners) with Ben Coen aboard (11%, 1899 runners) is a competent booking. Crucially, while DistFit:- is a concern, it is shared by nearly every runner in this field bar the favourite and Hip Hop Chrissy, so it provides no meaningful differentiation. Each-way alternative: This That. Main danger: This That — This That (SR:83, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, proven at the trip (DistFit:+), backed by Colin Keane and the G.M. Lyons yard, and despite carrying top-weight 9-12 and a MarkMv:+2, the superior SR and distance credentials make it the likeliest alternative if Yellow Sky's market move proves speculative.

Verify· #23756

Full result

Winner: Heart Of You (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.