← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Madam Speaker
MEDIUM Advised 4/6 Est. 45%
Mr Fox says
Madam Speaker (SR 121, 4/6) is the clear class standout — rated 22 points above the next-best Harzandacassandra (SR 99) and a full 30 points above Passing Chance (SR 95). Trained by Nicky Henderson (25% strike rate from 850 career runners), the strongest yard in the field by some margin, and dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) into this Class 5 mares' bumper, which represents a significant competitive advantage. The form of 22- (two placed efforts on her last two runs) shows she has been hitting the frame consistently and comes here with a fitness edge over the more lightly-raced rivals. Yes, the 4/6 price is short, but the SR gap, the Henderson operation, and the class drop together make this a straightforward case — there is no credible rival running off a comparable profile. Each-way alternative: Harzandacassandra. Main danger: Harzandacassandra — Harzandacassandra (SR 99, 6/1) is the most market-fancied rival having steamed in 41%, suggesting stable confidence, and the trainer partnership of Killahena & McPherson hits 17% from 264 runners — the form of 70- contains a placed effort and the market move cannot be ignored.
Full result
Winner: Passing Chance (GB) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Passing Chance 12/1
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2
Mariah's Dream 33/1
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3
Madam Speaker Fox #1 8/13
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4
Crystal Connemara Fox #3 14/1
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5
Harzandacassandra Fox #2 3/1
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6
Div Ine Glance 12/1
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7
Just Rizzo 200/1
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Ebarayna -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Madam Speaker 4/6 🥉 3RD
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2
Harzandacassandra 6/1 5TH
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3
Crystal Connemara 17/2 🏁 4TH