← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Classyfied
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Classyfied (SR:64, 4/1, Wgt:9-5) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Cavan Lady, but carries 3lb less than the favourite and has been backed in sharply — 28% market support is the second-strongest move in the race, behind only Dadawada's suspicious-looking 48% steam at 14/1. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) is a positive, and Tim Easterby (11% strike rate, 4,714 runners) is a prolific northern nursery handler who knows how to place a 2-year-old in Class 6. The going concern (GoingFit:-) is noted but at 5f on Good ground the penalty is modest, and Duran Fentiman's 7% strike rate is the one soft spot — offset by the clear weight and market edge over the co-favourite. Each-way alternative: Luna Lacy. Main danger: Cavan Lady — Cavan Lady (SR:64, 7/2) matches Classyfied on SR, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at 5f — the only runner in the field with proven distance form — and Cieren Fallon (17% career strike rate) is a significant jockey upgrade; the drift from opening price is the main concern.
Full result
Winner: Cavan Lady (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cavan Lady Fox #2 9/2
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2
Luna Lacy Fox #4 9/2
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3
Classyfied Fox #1 9/2
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4
Mr de Maggs 100/1
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5
Johns Power 17/2
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6
Lion of Persia 5/2
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7
Redrosecastana 200/1
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8
Dadawada Fox #3 25/1
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9
Mubehir 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Classyfied 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Cavan Lady 7/2 SP 13/2 🏆 WON
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3
Dadawada 14/1 8TH
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4
Luna Lacy 4/1 🥈 2ND