Central Employment & Training Partnership Handicap Stakes (Div I)

19:15 Newcastle (AW) Fri 16 Oct 2026 7f14y Class 6 Good 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Cavallo Pazzo

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 13/2 Est. 24%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Cavallo Pazzo (SR:56, 4/1) is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Coulsty Exchange and Dream Forever, but carries only 9-9 and has been dramatically cut from its opening price — a 16% market move inward on a 9-runner Class 6 handicap is a strong stable signal. The MarkMv:-17 is the most significant drop in the field, meaning connections are running him off a mark 17lb lower than his last win, which represents a genuine opportunity to exploit. The Shane Gray booking (15% career strike rate, 977 runners) is solid for this level. DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are negatives, but the combination of SR leadership, the substantial mark reduction, and the aggressive market move outweigh those concerns in a weak Class 6 field. Each-way alternative: Dream Forever. Main danger: Dream Forever — Dream Forever (SR:58, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner, carries the lightest weight at 8-12 giving it a real pounds advantage, has been backed 15% inward, and the form string of 001284 shows a horse that has been competitive recently — the biggest threat to the selection.

Verify· #23774

Full result

Winner: Cavallo Pazzo (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Cavallo Pazzo Fox #1 Daragh Bourke · Shane Gray 6/1
2 Coulsty Exchange Fox #3 Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 15/8
3 Trais Fluors Fox #4 Linda Perratt · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 15/2
4 Dream Forever Fox #2 Jedd O'Keeffe · Connor Beasley 3/1
5 Neapolitan Antony Brittain · Cam Hardie 22/1
6 Sadiiki Fred Watson · Rhys Elliott(5) 50/1
7 Orbital Chime Helen Cuthbert · Lauren Young(5) 40/1
8 Hey Havana Stephen Hanlon · Jack Callan 6/1
9 Kitaab Philip Kirby · Aiden Brookes 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Cavallo Pazzo 4/1 SP 13/2 🏆 WON
2 Dream Forever 7/2 🏁 4TH
3 Coulsty Exchange 11/4 🥈 2ND
4 Trais Fluors 17/2 🥉 3RD