← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Margaret Macklam Memorial Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rogue Encore
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 27%
Mr Fox says
Rogue Encore (SR 83, 3/1) combines the joint-top SR in the field with an outstanding course record of W3P5 at Newcastle AW — a specialist track where course form is a genuine differentiator. The 27% market support (Mkt:in27%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and far outweighs the 83-day absence; connections have clearly had the horse ready. The MarkMv:-5 drop means he runs off a reduced mark compared to his last win, and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest sharpened focus. Intrusively (SR 83, 11/4), the favourite, is a real danger but carries a ClassMv:↑1 and has a DistFit:- flag at this 1m5y trip — two specific flaws Rogue Encore does not share. Each-way alternative: Thunder Wonder. Main danger: Intrusively — Intrusively (SR 83, 11/4) is the market's choice, has a course win at Newcastle (Course:W1P1), is backed 27% in (Mkt:in27%), and won last time out — if the trainer has schooled her over the extra yardage at 1m5y, the DistFit:- flag may be misleading.
Full result
Winner: Nepal (IRE) at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Nepal 25/1
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2
They All Know Me 9/1
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3
Media Legend Fox #4 10/3
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4
Intrusively Fox #2 3/1
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5
Rogue Encore Fox #1 4/1
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6
Coolree 28/1
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7
Urban Road 33/1
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8
Thunder Wonder Fox #3 9/2
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9
Matter of Britain 12/1
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Jungle Ruler 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4