← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

17:15 Newcastle (AW) Fri 16 Oct 2026 5f Class 4 Good 6 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Qila silks

Qila

MEDIUM Advised 11/10 SP 13/8F Est. 44%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Qila (SR:84, 11/10) is the clear pick despite the SR ceiling — this is a Class 4 novice where SR:84 leads the realistic contenders once Sunday River's market drift of 38% is factored in. Qila has proven course form (W0P1 at Newcastle AW), is confirmed at the trip (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), and the market has tightened a further 6% since opening. The Brian Ellison yard runs two here but the market is emphatically signalling Qila as the stable's #1: the stablemate Sunday River has drifted dramatically to 4/1 from a shorter opening price. Qila's form of 2-0-3-3-3-2 shows consistent placing and the tongue-tie plus pads (HG:tp) are an established fit. Each-way alternative: Ennoble. Main danger: Sunday River — Sunday River carries the highest SR in the field at 151 — if that rating reflects latent ability and the horse handles the trip and going better than its unproven record (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) suggests, it could outclass this field despite the 38% drift.

Full result

Winner: Qila (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Qila silks Qila Fox #1 Brian Ellison · Harry Russell evn
  2. 2 Ennoble silks Ennoble Fox #2 Antony Brittain · Cam Hardie 10/3
  3. 3 Sunday River silks Sunday River Fox #3 Brian Ellison · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 6/1
  4. 4 Celtic Arrow silks Celtic Arrow Julie Camacho · Ryan Sexton 9/1
  5. 5 Nip About silks Nip About Tracy Waggott · Connor Beasley 15/2
  6. 6 Moretons silks Moretons Simon Waugh · Amie Waugh(3) 80/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Qila silks Qila 11/10 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Ennoble silks Ennoble 7/2 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Sunday River silks Sunday River 4/1 🥉 3RD