← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Qila
MEDIUM Advised 11/10 SP 13/8F Est. 44%
Mr Fox says
Qila (SR:84, 11/10) is the clear pick despite the SR ceiling — this is a Class 4 novice where SR:84 leads the realistic contenders once Sunday River's market drift of 38% is factored in. Qila has proven course form (W0P1 at Newcastle AW), is confirmed at the trip (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), and the market has tightened a further 6% since opening. The Brian Ellison yard runs two here but the market is emphatically signalling Qila as the stable's #1: the stablemate Sunday River has drifted dramatically to 4/1 from a shorter opening price. Qila's form of 2-0-3-3-3-2 shows consistent placing and the tongue-tie plus pads (HG:tp) are an established fit. Each-way alternative: Ennoble. Main danger: Sunday River — Sunday River carries the highest SR in the field at 151 — if that rating reflects latent ability and the horse handles the trip and going better than its unproven record (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) suggests, it could outclass this field despite the 38% drift.
Full result
Winner: Qila (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Qila Fox #1 evn
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2
Ennoble Fox #2 10/3
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3
Sunday River Fox #3 6/1
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4
Celtic Arrow 9/1
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5
Nip About 15/2
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6
Moretons 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Qila 11/10 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Ennoble 7/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Sunday River 4/1 🥉 3RD