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Northumbria Leisure For Gaming Machines Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

16:43 Newcastle (AW) Fri 16 Oct 2026 1m2f42y Class 4 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Guesstimate silks

Guesstimate

MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 26%

11TH

Mr Fox says

Guesstimate (SR:88, 7/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Patrol yet carries a full 8lb less than Patrol (9-3 vs 9-11), a substantial weight advantage in a competitive Class 4 handicap. William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,130 runners) is the standout trainer in the field and Daniel Tudhope (18%) is a superior booking, both signalling yard confidence. The market has moved in 24%, confirming money is following connections' intention. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on AW Good means this horse is proven at today's exact conditions — no question marks on trip or surface. Each-way alternative: Patrol. Main danger: Patrol — Patrol (SR:88, 9/2) matches Guesstimate on raw ability, has GoingFit:+ and a course placing, has been backed in 26% since opening, and while carrying 8lb more, a visor first time under a 13% trainer is a live each-way threat.

Verify· #23715

Full result

Winner: Patrol (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Patrol silks Patrol Fox #2 Dylan Cunha · Jack Callan 5/1
  2. 2 Wanderlust silks Wanderlust Fox #3 Iain Jardine · Jack Dace(5) 10/3
  3. 3 Variety Act silks Variety Act Sir Mark Prescott Bt · Luke Morris 7/1
  4. 4 Yafaarr silks Yafaarr Fox #4 Sam England · Shane Gray 13/2
  5. 5 Yafreh silks Yafreh Richard & Peter Fahey · Cam Hardie 11/1
  6. 6 Model Yuko silks Model Yuko Roger Varian · Sean Dylan Bowen 16/1
  7. 7 Qitaal silks Qitaal Charlie Johnston · Andrew Mullen 16/1
  8. 8 Krissy silks Krissy Jim Goldie · Rhys Elliott(5) 20/1
  9. 9 Porth Eilian silks Porth Eilian Edward Bethell · Connor Beasley 16/1
  10. 10 Clatford silks Clatford Scott Dixon · Kieran O'Neill 66/1
  11. 11 Guesstimate silks Guesstimate Fox #1 William Haggas · Daniel Tudhope 3/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Guesstimate silks Guesstimate 7/2 11TH
  2. 2 Patrol silks Patrol 9/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Wanderlust silks Wanderlust 11/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Yafaarr silks Yafaarr 11/2 🏁 4TH