← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Valadero
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Valadero (SR:65, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field alongside Stock Market, but carries only 9-3 — the lightest competitive weight — giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over Stock Market (9-8) and Roman Spring (9-8). Its form string 783125 shows a recent win (penultimate run) and a placed effort last time, and it has course form (Course:W1P2) at Brighton that no rival can match among the top-rated horses. The market has backed it in 15% (Mkt:in15%) and Tom Marquand's booking (16% strike rate, 2590 career rides) is the strongest jockey assignment in the race — connections clearly mean business. GoingFit:- applies to every runner here, so that negative cancels out across the field. Each-way alternative: Roman Spring. Main danger: Roman Spring — Roman Spring (SR:63, 5/1) has an outstanding course record (Course:W3P4 — three wins at Brighton) that is the best track stat in the field, and its form 542116 shows consecutive wins before last time, making it the most obvious threat if Valadero's weight advantage doesn't tell.
Full result
Winner: Roman Spring (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Roman Spring Fox #2 9/2
-
2
Bessie Wallis 33/1
-
3
Unico 8/1
-
4
Valadero Fox #1 4/1
-
5
Stock Market Fox #3 9/2
-
6
Danger Alert 6/1
-
7
Grand Citadel 7/1
-
8
Bonnita 16/1
-
9
Mart 12/1
-
—
Big Bard 6/1
-
—
Rianka 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Valadero 11/2 🏁 4TH
-
2
Roman Spring 5/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
-
3
Stock Market 9/2 5TH