← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Harbour Highway
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Harbour Highway (SR 97, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and the market has backed it in 14% since opening — the only steamer in the race. Trainer Emmet Mullins runs at 14% career strike rate, well above most rivals here, and jockey Mr Derek O'Connor is a strong amateur booking at 20%. The form string 25P63 is mixed but the P came on a bad day and the horse has run recently (18 days), suggesting the yard is happy with its condition. At joint-shortest price it carries 12-2 but still holds a SR edge over every rival; the market money and connections strength are the decisive tie-breakers. Each-way alternative: Western Model. Main danger: Western Model — Western Model (SR 99, 4/1) is actually the top SR in the field, proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), has course form (W1P2), runs off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=), and carries only 11-5 — a significant weight advantage over Harbour Highway — making him a live threat if the money is simply not there yet.
Full result
Winner: Giant Haystacks (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Giant Haystacks 7/2
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2
My Cullen 7/1
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3
Aurea Fortuna 6/4
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4
Mags Nelson Fox #3 17/2
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5
Fr Gilligansvoyge 18/1
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6
Revolut Ned 28/1
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Secret She Keeps 33/1
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Harbour Highway Fox #1 7/2
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Western Model Fox #2 4/1
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Subset 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Harbour Highway 11/4
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2
Western Model 4/1
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3
Mags Nelson 8/1 🏁 4TH