TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle

15:20 Punchestown Wed 14 Oct 2026 2m4f45y Good 16 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Elusive Ogie

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 13%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Elusive Ogie (SR:114, 7/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field at a very manageable 10-13, giving it a significant weight advantage over the top-rated runners. The market has moved sharply in its favour — Mkt:in32% is the strongest steam in the race — and Jack Kennedy (23% career strike rate, 1,242 runners) is a high-calibre booking that strongly signals stable confidence. GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on good ground, but the MarkMv:+5 rise is modest and a 5-year-old with a form line showing a recent '8' has upside unexploited at this trip. The price of 7/1 implies roughly 12% true probability; the SR edge, the weight advantage, Kennedy's booking and the significant market move combine to push the real chance meaningfully higher. Each-way alternative: Harpy Eagle. Main danger: Wonderful Everyday — Wonderful Everyday (SR:112, 11/4) is the clear market favourite with a Mullins/King booking, course form (W1P1) and a 15% market move in, and while GoingFit:? and DistFit:? leave questions, Mullins' 26% strike rate means the yard's confidence alone makes this the biggest threat to Elusive Ogie.

Verify· #23343

Full result

Winner: Harpy Eagle (IRE) at SP 7/2C. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.