← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Mayaada
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 1/1F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Mayaada (SR:72, 9/4) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has steamed in 24% in the market — the strongest positive move across all 10 runners — with Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) booked. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 4lb lower than her last win (MarkMv:-4) gives her every chance on handicap terms, and DistFit:+ confirms she has the stamina for this 1m75y trip. The one concern is GoingFit:- on Good to Soft, but the weight relief (9-9 versus her class ceiling), the market conviction and the connections upgrade make her the most compelling case in the race. Each-way alternative: Mr Tony. Main danger: Blue Boy Junior — Blue Boy Junior (SR:70, 4/1) is the second-highest rated runner, carries a favourable weight of 9-6, and has been backed in 13% — a genuine market move that suggests confidence in his unexposed profile at this trip (DistFit:?).
Full result
Winner: Mayaada (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mayaada Fox #1 6/4
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2
Magic Box 14/1
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3
Ubetterseethis 40/1
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4
Gunalt Wavelength 10/1
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5
Anton Mauve Fox #4 4/1
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6
Blue Boy Junior Fox #2 9/2
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7
Mr Tony Fox #3 17/2
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8
Gwen's Girl 33/1
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9
Lieutenant Kije 12/1
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10
Whatever Bruce 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mayaada 9/4 SP 1/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Blue Boy Junior 4/1 6TH
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3
Mr Tony 7/1 7TH
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4
Anton Mauve 4/1 5TH