← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Londoner
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Londoner (SR:96, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin and has steamed in 48% in the market — the most dramatic move of any runner today, suggesting significant stable confidence. Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 3152 career runs) is a strong booking who knows what he's sitting on. The Course:W0P3 record at Kempton shows familiarity with the track, and a ClassMv:= means this is no harder than recent assignments. The GoingFit:- is the one genuine concern on today's Good to Soft, but the market clearly isn't troubled by it, and the 48% support is too loud to ignore. Each-way alternative: Charmaine. Main danger: Assail — Assail (SR:86, 15/2) has been backed in 24% from opening, carries just 9-5, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), runs off a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-5), and holds course form (W1P2 at Kempton) — a strong convergence of signals that could make him the value alternative.
Full result
Winner: War Hawk (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
War Hawk 7/1
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2
Tryfan Fox #4 11/2
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3
Londoner Fox #1 10/3
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4
Charmaine Fox #3 8/1
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5
Assail Fox #2 11/2
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6
Wonder 9/1
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7
Metal Merchant 28/1
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8
Charlie's Choice 25/1
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9
Carnival Day 18/1
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10
Nicator 7/2
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11
Youthful King 40/1
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12
Lyric 40/1
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13
Marhaba The Champ 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Londoner 7/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Assail 15/2 5TH
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3
Charmaine 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Tryfan 11/2 🥈 2ND