Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

16:25 Kempton (AW) Wed 14 Oct 2026 6f Class 4 Good to Soft 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Hayate

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 SP 5/6F Est. 28%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Hayate (SR:156, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field — a 4-point SR gap over the second-best rated runner (Uomo Valeroso, SR:152) and a 27-point gap over the third (Colaba, SR:130). Roger Varian's 20% strike rate is the strongest in the field and Jack Mitchell (16%) is a reliable booking. The sole concern is a 20% drift in the market (Mkt:out20%), but in a novice with this SR dominance that drift more likely reflects the inexperienced form line (single run, finished third) than any specific intelligence about today's conditions. Uomo Valeroso (SR:152) is steaming in (Mkt:in18%) and represents the main rival, but Hayate's class edge off the same weight is the decisive factor here. Each-way alternative: Uomo Valeroso. Main danger: Uomo Valeroso — Uomo Valeroso (SR:152, 5/1) is significantly backed (Mkt:in18%) with a strong Rossa Ryan booking, carries the same weight as Hayate, and Clive Cox's yard clearly has confidence in this runner as the stable's number one over debutant Colaba — if Hayate's debut run (a third) masked any greenness or fitness issue, Uomo Valeroso on a clean slate with market support could prevail.

Verify· #23371

Full result

Winner: Hayate (IRE) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Hayate Fox #1 Roger Varian · Jack Mitchell evn
2 Encounter S. P. C. Woods · Cieren Fallon 5/2
3 I Am Royal Fox #3 Richard Hughes · Billy Loughnane 4/1
4 Uomo Valeroso Fox #2 Clive Cox · Rossa Ryan 5/1
5 Colaba Clive Cox · Harry Davies 40/1
6 Stephen's Secret John Butler · David Egan 200/1
7 Lead To Gold Ollie Sangster · Stevie Donohoe 200/1
8 Desert Move Simon Dow · Paddy Bradley 200/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Hayate 11/8 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
2 Uomo Valeroso 5/1 🏁 4TH
3 I Am Royal 10/3 🥉 3RD